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Predictions › United States › Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes prediction

Kinnick Stadium

Ohio State BuckeyesAway
29.2 : 15.7
projected points
Iowa HawkeyesHome
82%Ohio State
18%Iowa
Eagle safe pickUnder 55.5 points
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 82% chance. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 29.2 and Iowa Hawkeyes 15.7. Our best bet is Under 55.5 points at -302.

Prediction
Ohio State Buckeyes to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
Ohio State Buckeyes 29, Iowa Hawkeyes 16
Projected total
44.8 points
Best bet
Under 55.5 points at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 55.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3022 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Iowa Hawkeyes 18% and Ohio State Buckeyes 82%. The bookmakers agree and make Ohio State Buckeyes the favourite at -575.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Iowa Hawkeyes won 5 of their last 5 and Ohio State Buckeyes won 3 of their last 5. Iowa Hawkeyes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Iowa Hawkeyes won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Ohio State Buckeyes won 5 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Iowa Hawkeyes score 31.0 points a game and let in 14.5. Ohio State Buckeyes score 35.3 and let in 10.8. Their recent games average 45.5 and 46.0 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 55.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Iowarest between games-5%
  • Ohio Staterest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes: Ohio State Buckeyes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Iowa Hawkeyes host Ohio State Buckeyes in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Kinnick Stadium. Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 82% chance. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 29.2 and Iowa Hawkeyes 15.7. Our best bet is Under 55.5 points at -302.

Iowa Hawkeyes form

Iowa Hawkeyes have 12 wins and 3 losses in their last 15 games, with 465 points scored and 218 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Ohio State Buckeyes form

Ohio State Buckeyes have 13 wins and 3 losses in their last 16 games, with 564 points scored and 172 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ohio State Buckeyes to score about 29.2 points and Iowa Hawkeyes about 15.7. That points to Ohio State Buckeyes to win. Our safest bet is Under 55.5 points at -302.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

IowaOhio State
Games played1516
Wins1213
Losses33
Points scored465564
Points conceded218172
Scored per game31.035.3
Conceded per game14.510.8
Home record7W 2L8W 2L
Away record5W 1L5W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Iowa to win18%+441+425-3.0%
Ohio State to win79%-373-575-7.4%
Iowa +13.547%+113-108-9.7%
Ohio State -13.547%+113-112-11.3%
Over 45.5 points45%+121-115-15.5%
Under 45.5 points49%+106-105-5.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Iowa spreadCoversFair
Iowa +6.533%+202
Iowa +10.543%+135
Iowa +13.550%+100
Iowa +16.557%-135
Iowa +20.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
37.568%32%
41.558%42%
44.551%49%
47.543%57%
51.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Iowa +3.5 wins if Iowa win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Texas Erases 20 Point Deficit to Stun Top Ranked Ohio State

Ohio State let a 20 point fourth quarter lead slip away against Texas, falling 24-23 after a late Longhorns comeback.

13 Sept 2026
College Football

Texas Shocks Ohio State With Massive Fourth Quarter Comeback

No. 4 Texas rallied from 20 points down in the fourth quarter to shock No. 1 Ohio State 24-23 on Saturday night.

13 Sept 2026
College Football

Texas Fans Brave 94 Degree Heat To Secure Front Row For Ohio State

Dedicated Texas Longhorns students are already camping out in 94 degree heat to secure the best seats for their massive matchup against Ohio State.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes?

Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 82% chance. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 29.2 and Iowa Hawkeyes 15.7. Our best bet is Under 55.5 points at -302.

What is the projected score for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes?

We project Ohio State Buckeyes 29.2 and Iowa Hawkeyes 15.7, about 44.8 points in total.

How are Iowa Hawkeyes playing?

Iowa Hawkeyes have 12 wins and 3 losses in their last 15 games, with 465 points scored and 218 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Ohio State Buckeyes playing?

Ohio State Buckeyes have 13 wins and 3 losses in their last 16 games, with 564 points scored and 172 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes?

Under 55.5 points at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Iowa against Ohio State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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