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College FootballSat 21 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers prediction

Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Ohio State BuckeyesAway
21.0 : 24.2
projected points
Nebraska CornhuskersHome
47%Ohio State
53%Nebraska
Eagle safe pickOhio State +13.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers is Nebraska Cornhuskers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 21.0 and Nebraska Cornhuskers 24.2. Our best bet is Ohio State +13.5 at -301.

Prediction
Nebraska Cornhuskers to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Ohio State Buckeyes 21, Nebraska Cornhuskers 24
Projected total
45.2 points
Best bet
Ohio State +13.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ohio State +13.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ohio State to win
41% chanceFair price +1471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Nebraska Cornhuskers 53% and Ohio State Buckeyes 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Nebraska Cornhuskers won 1 of their last 5 and Ohio State Buckeyes won 3 of their last 5. Ohio State Buckeyes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Nebraska Cornhuskers won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Ohio State Buckeyes won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Nebraska Cornhuskers score 27.9 points a game and let in 22.6. Ohio State Buckeyes score 33.4 and let in 13.9. Their recent games average 50.5 and 47.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Ohio State +13.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers: Nebraska Cornhuskers shade it

The big picture

Nebraska Cornhuskers host Ohio State Buckeyes in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 00:00 at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE). Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers is Nebraska Cornhuskers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 21.0 and Nebraska Cornhuskers 24.2. Our best bet is Ohio State +13.5 at -301.

Nebraska Cornhuskers form

Nebraska Cornhuskers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 557 points scored and 452 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Ohio State Buckeyes form

Ohio State Buckeyes have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 668 points scored and 279 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ohio State Buckeyes to score about 21.0 points and Nebraska Cornhuskers about 24.2. That points to Nebraska Cornhuskers to win. Our safest bet is Ohio State +13.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Ohio State to win at +147.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NebraskaOhio State
Games played2020
Wins1015
Losses105
Points scored557668
Points conceded452279
Scored per game27.933.4
Conceded per game22.613.9
Home record7W 5L8W 3L
Away record3W 5L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nebraska spreadCoversFair
Nebraska -10.532%+209
Nebraska -6.542%+139
Nebraska -3.549%+103
Nebraska -0.557%-131
Nebraska +3.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
38.566%34%
42.557%43%
45.549%51%
48.542%58%
52.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nebraska +3.5 wins if Nebraska win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Ohio State Buckeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers?

Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers is Nebraska Cornhuskers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 21.0 and Nebraska Cornhuskers 24.2. Our best bet is Ohio State +13.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers?

We project Ohio State Buckeyes 21.0 and Nebraska Cornhuskers 24.2, about 45.2 points in total.

How are Nebraska Cornhuskers playing?

Nebraska Cornhuskers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 557 points scored and 452 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Ohio State Buckeyes playing?

Ohio State Buckeyes have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 668 points scored and 279 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Nebraska Cornhuskers?

Ohio State +13.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nebraska against Ohio State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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