Predictions › United States › Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans prediction

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Ohio State BuckeyesAway
29.4 : 23.3
projected points
USC TrojansHome
68%Ohio State
32%USC
Eagle safe pickUSC +17
-318

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 68% chance. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 29.4 and USC Trojans 23.3. Our best bet is USC +17 at -318.

Prediction
Ohio State Buckeyes to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Ohio State Buckeyes 29, USC Trojans 23
Projected total
52.8 points
Best bet
USC +17 at -318

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

USC +17
76% chanceFair price -3182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

USC to win
32% chancePrice +2051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives USC Trojans 32% and Ohio State Buckeyes 68%. The bookmakers agree and make Ohio State Buckeyes the favourite at -250.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    USC Trojans won 4 of their last 5 and Ohio State Buckeyes won 5 of their last 5. Ohio State Buckeyes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    USC Trojans won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Ohio State Buckeyes won 7 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    USC Trojans score 32.7 points a game and let in 24.6. Ohio State Buckeyes score 34.7 and let in 11.4. Their recent games average 57.2 and 46.1 points in total, and the market line is 53.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    USC +17 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans: Ohio State Buckeyes are favourites

The big picture

USC Trojans host Ohio State Buckeyes in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 68% chance. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 29.4 and USC Trojans 23.3. Our best bet is USC +17 at -318.

USC Trojans form

USC Trojans have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 588 points scored and 442 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Ohio State Buckeyes form

Ohio State Buckeyes have 16 wins and 3 losses in their last 19 games, with 659 points scored and 217 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ohio State Buckeyes to score about 29.4 points and USC Trojans about 23.3. That points to Ohio State Buckeyes to win. Our safest bet is USC +17 at -318. Our bold bet is USC to win at +205.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

USCOhio State
Games played1819
Wins1316
Losses53
Points scored588659
Points conceded442217
Scored per game32.734.7
Conceded per game24.611.4
Home record9W 1L9W 2L
Away record4W 4L7W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
USC to win32%+217+205-3.9%
Ohio State to win67%-204-250-6.0%
USC +749%+103-115-7.7%
Ohio State -746%+115-105-9.3%
Over 53.5 points47%+114-110-10.8%
Under 53.5 points49%+104-110-6.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

USC spreadCoversFair
USC -0.534%+194
USC +3.544%+130
USC +6.551%-104
USC +9.558%-140
USC +13.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
45.568%32%
49.558%42%
52.551%49%
55.543%57%
59.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. USC +3.5 wins if USC win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans?

Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 68% chance. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 29.4 and USC Trojans 23.3. Our best bet is USC +17 at -318.

What is the projected score for Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans?

We project Ohio State Buckeyes 29.4 and USC Trojans 23.3, about 52.8 points in total.

How are USC Trojans playing?

USC Trojans have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 588 points scored and 442 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Ohio State Buckeyes playing?

Ohio State Buckeyes have 16 wins and 3 losses in their last 19 games, with 659 points scored and 217 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans?

USC +17 at -318, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in USC against Ohio State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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