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NBAMon 2 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction

Rocket Arena

Oklahoma City ThunderAway
116.1 : 111.6
projected points
Cleveland CavaliersHome
65%Thunder
35%Cavaliers
Eagle safe pickThunder +3.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 65% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 116.1 and Cleveland Cavaliers 111.6. Our best bet is Thunder +3.5 at -303.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
65%
Projected score
Oklahoma City Thunder 116, Cleveland Cavaliers 112
Projected total
227.7 points
Best bet
Thunder +3.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder +3.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cavaliers to win
35% chanceFair price +1881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Cavaliers 35% and Oklahoma City Thunder 65%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 of their last 5 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 3 of their last 5. Oklahoma City Thunder come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Oklahoma City Thunder won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Cavaliers score 107.8 points a game and let in 112.8. Oklahoma City Thunder score 112.8 and let in 110.4. Their recent games average 220.6 and 223.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cleveland Cavaliers won 0 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 121, Cleveland Cavaliers 113.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder +3.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cavaliersrest between games-5%
  • Thunderrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

The big picture

Cleveland Cavaliers host Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Mon 2 Nov, 19:00 at Rocket Arena. Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 65% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 116.1 and Cleveland Cavaliers 111.6. Our best bet is Thunder +3.5 at -303.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2156 points scored and 2255 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2255 points scored and 2208 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cleveland Cavaliers won 0, Oklahoma City Thunder won 2. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 121, Cleveland Cavaliers 113.

Our call

We expect Oklahoma City Thunder to score about 116.1 points and Cleveland Cavaliers about 111.6. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder +3.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Cavaliers to win at +188.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CavaliersThunder
Games played2020
Wins712
Losses138
Points scored21562255
Points conceded22552208
Scored per game107.8112.8
Conceded per game112.8110.4
Home record5W 4L6W 4L
Away record2W 9L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Cavaliers spreadCoversFair
Cavaliers -1.531%+218
Cavaliers +1.540%+148
Cavaliers +4.550%+101
Cavaliers +7.559%-146
Cavaliers +10.568%-216
Total pointsOverUnder
221.563%37%
224.557%43%
227.550%50%
230.544%56%
233.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cavaliers +3.5 wins if Cavaliers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 65% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 116.1 and Cleveland Cavaliers 111.6. Our best bet is Thunder +3.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

We project Oklahoma City Thunder 116.1 and Cleveland Cavaliers 111.6, about 227.7 points in total.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2156 points scored and 2255 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2255 points scored and 2208 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder last met?

It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 121, Cleveland Cavaliers 113. In the last 2 meetings Cleveland Cavaliers won 0 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2.

What is the best bet for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Thunder +3.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cavaliers against Thunder. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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