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Predictions › United States › Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
NBAThu 15 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets prediction

Toyota Center (Houston)

Oklahoma City ThunderAway
111.1 : 108.7
projected points
Houston RocketsHome
61%Thunder
39%Rockets
Eagle safe pickRockets +10.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 61% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 111.1 and Houston Rockets 108.7. Our best bet is Rockets +10.5 at -306.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Oklahoma City Thunder 111, Houston Rockets 109
Projected total
219.8 points
Best bet
Rockets +10.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rockets +10.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rockets to win
39% chanceFair price +1541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Rockets 39% and Oklahoma City Thunder 61%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Rockets won 2 of their last 5 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Rockets won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Oklahoma City Thunder won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Houston Rockets score 115.0 points a game and let in 107.5. Oklahoma City Thunder score 117.0 and let in 109.8. Their recent games average 222.5 and 226.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Houston Rockets won 1 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 106, Houston Rockets 112.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Rockets +10.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rocketsrest between games-3%
  • Thunderrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Houston Rockets host Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Thu 15 Oct, 20:30 at Toyota Center (Houston). Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 61% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 111.1 and Houston Rockets 108.7. Our best bet is Rockets +10.5 at -306.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2300 points scored and 2150 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2340 points scored and 2196 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Houston Rockets won 1, Oklahoma City Thunder won 2. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 106, Houston Rockets 112.

Our call

We expect Oklahoma City Thunder to score about 111.1 points and Houston Rockets about 108.7. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Rockets +10.5 at -306. Our bold bet is Rockets to win at +154.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RocketsThunder
Games played2020
Wins1314
Losses76
Points scored23002340
Points conceded21502196
Scored per game115.0117.0
Conceded per game107.5109.8
Home record8W 3L7W 3L
Away record5W 4L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rockets spreadCoversFair
Rockets -3.532%+214
Rockets -0.541%+145
Rockets +2.550%-101
Rockets +5.560%-149
Rockets +8.569%-220
Total pointsOverUnder
213.564%36%
216.557%43%
219.551%49%
222.544%56%
225.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rockets +3.5 wins if Rockets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets?

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 61% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 111.1 and Houston Rockets 108.7. Our best bet is Rockets +10.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets?

We project Oklahoma City Thunder 111.1 and Houston Rockets 108.7, about 219.8 points in total.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2300 points scored and 2150 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2340 points scored and 2196 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder last met?

It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 106, Houston Rockets 112. In the last 3 meetings Houston Rockets won 1 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2.

What is the best bet for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets?

Rockets +10.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rockets against Thunder. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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