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NBASat 31 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets prediction

Toyota Center (Houston)

Oklahoma City ThunderAway
110.3 : 109.3
projected points
Houston RocketsHome
54%Thunder
46%Rockets
Eagle safe pickThunder +7.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 110.3 and Houston Rockets 109.3. Our best bet is Thunder +7.5 at -312.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Oklahoma City Thunder 110, Houston Rockets 109
Projected total
219.5 points
Best bet
Thunder +7.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder +7.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Rockets 46% and Oklahoma City Thunder 54%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Rockets won 3 of their last 5 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 of their last 5. Houston Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Rockets won 8 of their last 12 games at home. Oklahoma City Thunder won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Houston Rockets score 116.1 points a game and let in 107.0. Oklahoma City Thunder score 114.0 and let in 111.5. Their recent games average 223.1 and 225.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Houston Rockets won 2 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2. The last one ended Houston Rockets 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 89.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder +7.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rocketsrest between games-5%
  • Thunderrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets: Oklahoma City Thunder shade it

The big picture

Houston Rockets host Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 at Toyota Center (Houston). Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 110.3 and Houston Rockets 109.3. Our best bet is Thunder +7.5 at -312.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2322 points scored and 2139 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2279 points scored and 2231 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Houston Rockets won 2, Oklahoma City Thunder won 2. Last time out it finished Houston Rockets 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 89.

Our call

We expect Oklahoma City Thunder to score about 110.3 points and Houston Rockets about 109.3. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder +7.5 at -312.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RocketsThunder
Games played2020
Wins1412
Losses68
Points scored23222279
Points conceded21392231
Scored per game116.1114.0
Conceded per game107.0111.5
Home record8W 4L6W 4L
Away record6W 2L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rockets spreadCoversFair
Rockets -5.530%+232
Rockets -2.539%+157
Rockets +0.548%+107
Rockets +3.558%-138
Rockets +6.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
213.563%37%
216.557%43%
219.550%50%
222.543%57%
225.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rockets +3.5 wins if Rockets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets?

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 110.3 and Houston Rockets 109.3. Our best bet is Thunder +7.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets?

We project Oklahoma City Thunder 110.3 and Houston Rockets 109.3, about 219.5 points in total.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2322 points scored and 2139 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2279 points scored and 2231 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder last met?

It ended Houston Rockets 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 89. In the last 4 meetings Houston Rockets won 2 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2.

What is the best bet for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets?

Thunder +7.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rockets against Thunder. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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