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Predictions › United States › Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings
NBASun 15 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Golden 1 Center

Oklahoma City ThunderAway
120.0 : 107.6
projected points
Sacramento KingsHome
85%Thunder
15%Kings
Eagle safe pickThunder to win
-535

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 85% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 120.0 and Sacramento Kings 107.6. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -535.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
85%
Projected score
Oklahoma City Thunder 120, Sacramento Kings 108
Projected total
227.7 points
Best bet
Thunder to win at -535

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder to win
84% chanceFair price -5352 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sacramento Kings 15% and Oklahoma City Thunder 85%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sacramento Kings won 1 of their last 5 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 3 of their last 5. Oklahoma City Thunder come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Oklahoma City Thunder won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sacramento Kings score 108.8 points a game and let in 120.3. Oklahoma City Thunder score 109.6 and let in 112.2. Their recent games average 229.1 and 221.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Sacramento Kings won 0 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 3. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 113, Sacramento Kings 99.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kingsrest between games-5%
  • Thunderrest between games-5%
  • Thunderteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sacramento Kings host Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Sun 15 Nov, 21:00 at Golden 1 Center. Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 85% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 120.0 and Sacramento Kings 107.6. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -535.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2175 points scored and 2406 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2192 points scored and 2244 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Sacramento Kings won 0, Oklahoma City Thunder won 3. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 113, Sacramento Kings 99.

Our call

We expect Oklahoma City Thunder to score about 120.0 points and Sacramento Kings about 107.6. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder to win at -535.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KingsThunder
Games played2020
Wins410
Losses1610
Points scored21752192
Points conceded24062244
Scored per game108.8109.6
Conceded per game120.3112.2
Home record2W 6L7W 4L
Away record2W 10L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kings spreadCoversFair
Kings +6.532%+215
Kings +9.541%+145
Kings +12.550%-101
Kings +15.560%-148
Kings +18.569%-219
Total pointsOverUnder
221.563%37%
224.557%43%
227.550%50%
230.544%56%
233.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kings +3.5 wins if Kings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Oklahoma City Adds Dalen Terry to Two Year Deal After Injuries

The Oklahoma City Thunder signed swingman Dalen Terry to a two year contract after several key players suffered serious injuries.

3 Nov 2026
NBA

Gilgeous Alexander Scores 43 to Lead Thunder Past Cavaliers

Shai Gilgeous Alexander scored 43 points as the Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 117-112 on Monday night.

3 Nov 2026
NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder Set to Retire Russell Westbrook No. 0 Jersey

The Oklahoma City Thunder will honor former MVP Russell Westbrook by retiring his No. 0 jersey on Feb. 7.

2 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings?

Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 85% chance. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 120.0 and Sacramento Kings 107.6. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -535.

What is the projected score for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings?

We project Oklahoma City Thunder 120.0 and Sacramento Kings 107.6, about 227.7 points in total.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2175 points scored and 2406 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2192 points scored and 2244 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Sacramento Kings and Oklahoma City Thunder last met?

It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 113, Sacramento Kings 99. In the last 3 meetings Sacramento Kings won 0 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 3.

What is the best bet for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings?

Thunder to win at -535, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kings against Thunder. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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