Quick answer
Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 113.5 and San Antonio Spurs 115.0. Our best bet is Thunder +10.5 at -312.
- Prediction
- Oklahoma City Thunder to win
- Chance
- 50%
- Projected score
- Oklahoma City Thunder 114, San Antonio Spurs 115
- Projected total
- 228.6 points
- Best bet
- Thunder +10.5 at -312
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Thunder +10.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives San Antonio Spurs 50% and Oklahoma City Thunder 50%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make San Antonio Spurs the favourite at -125, so take care with this one.
- 2
Recent formSan Antonio Spurs won 1 of their last 5 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
- 3
Home and awaySan Antonio Spurs won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Oklahoma City Thunder won 6 of their last 9 on the road.
- 4
ScoringSan Antonio Spurs score 112.7 points a game and let in 106.5. Oklahoma City Thunder score 115.3 and let in 112.1. Their recent games average 219.2 and 227.4 points in total, and the market line is 230.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 5 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 3 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 103, San Antonio Spurs 111.
- 6
The safest betThunder +10.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Spursrest between games-2%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewOklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs: Oklahoma City Thunder shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
San Antonio Spurs host Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA on Tue 20 Oct, 21:30 at Frost Bank Center. Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 113.5 and San Antonio Spurs 115.0. Our best bet is Thunder +10.5 at -312.
San Antonio Spurs form
San Antonio Spurs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2253 points scored and 2130 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.
Oklahoma City Thunder form
Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2307 points scored and 2242 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 5 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 3, Oklahoma City Thunder won 2. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 103, San Antonio Spurs 111.
Our call
We expect Oklahoma City Thunder to score about 113.5 points and San Antonio Spurs about 115.0. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder +10.5 at -312.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs?
Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oklahoma City Thunder 113.5 and San Antonio Spurs 115.0. Our best bet is Thunder +10.5 at -312.
What is the projected score for Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs?
We project Oklahoma City Thunder 113.5 and San Antonio Spurs 115.0, about 228.6 points in total.
How are San Antonio Spurs playing?
San Antonio Spurs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2253 points scored and 2130 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.
How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?
Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2307 points scored and 2242 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.
What happened when San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder last met?
It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 103, San Antonio Spurs 111. In the last 5 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 3 and Oklahoma City Thunder won 2.
What is the best bet for Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs?
Thunder +10.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Thunder. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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