Predictions › United States › Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers prediction

Kidd Brewer Stadium

Old Dominion MonarchsAway
25.1 : 31.6
projected points
App State MountaineersHome
34%Old Dominion
66%App State
Eagle safe pickOver 46.5 points
-291

Quick answer

Our prediction for Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers is App State Mountaineers to win, with a 66% chance. We project Old Dominion Monarchs 25.1 and App State Mountaineers 31.6. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -291.

Prediction
App State Mountaineers to win
Chance
66%
Projected score
Old Dominion Monarchs 25, App State Mountaineers 32
Projected total
56.7 points
Best bet
Over 46.5 points at -291

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 46.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2911 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Old Dominion to win
32% chanceFair price +2111 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives App State Mountaineers 66% and Old Dominion Monarchs 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    App State Mountaineers won 3 of their last 5 and Old Dominion Monarchs won 2 of their last 5. App State Mountaineers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    App State Mountaineers won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Old Dominion Monarchs won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    App State Mountaineers score 26.6 points a game and let in 30.1. Old Dominion Monarchs score 29.1 and let in 21.9. Their recent games average 56.7 and 51.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, App State Mountaineers won 0 and Old Dominion Monarchs won 1. The last one ended Old Dominion Monarchs 24, App State Mountaineers 21.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 46.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers: App State Mountaineers are favourites

The big picture

App State Mountaineers host Old Dominion Monarchs in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 at Kidd Brewer Stadium. Our prediction for Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers is App State Mountaineers to win, with a 66% chance. We project Old Dominion Monarchs 25.1 and App State Mountaineers 31.6. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -291.

App State Mountaineers form

App State Mountaineers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 399 points scored and 452 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Old Dominion Monarchs form

Old Dominion Monarchs have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 437 points scored and 328 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. App State Mountaineers won 0, Old Dominion Monarchs won 1. Last time out it finished Old Dominion Monarchs 24, App State Mountaineers 21.

Our call

We expect Old Dominion Monarchs to score about 25.1 points and App State Mountaineers about 31.6. That points to App State Mountaineers to win. Our safest bet is Over 46.5 points at -291. Our bold bet is Old Dominion to win at +211.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

App StateOld Dominion
Games played1515
Wins610
Losses95
Points scored399437
Points conceded452328
Scored per game26.629.1
Conceded per game30.121.9
Home record4W 4L6W 2L
Away record2W 5L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

App State spreadCoversFair
App State -13.533%+201
App State -9.543%+134
App State -6.550%-101
App State -3.558%-136
App State +0.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
49.567%33%
53.558%42%
56.550%50%
59.543%57%
63.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. App State +3.5 wins if App State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers?

Our prediction for Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers is App State Mountaineers to win, with a 66% chance. We project Old Dominion Monarchs 25.1 and App State Mountaineers 31.6. Our best bet is Over 46.5 points at -291.

What is the projected score for Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers?

We project Old Dominion Monarchs 25.1 and App State Mountaineers 31.6, about 56.7 points in total.

How are App State Mountaineers playing?

App State Mountaineers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 399 points scored and 452 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Old Dominion Monarchs playing?

Old Dominion Monarchs have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 437 points scored and 328 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when App State Mountaineers and Old Dominion Monarchs last met?

It ended Old Dominion Monarchs 24, App State Mountaineers 21. In the last 1 meeting App State Mountaineers won 0 and Old Dominion Monarchs won 1.

What is the best bet for Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers?

Over 46.5 points at -291, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in App State against Old Dominion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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