Predictions › United States › Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers prediction

Center Parc Stadium

Old Dominion MonarchsAway
26.1 : 25.4
projected points
Georgia State PanthersHome
54%Old Dominion
46%Georgia St
Eagle safe pickOver 40.5 points
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers is Old Dominion Monarchs to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Old Dominion Monarchs 26.1 and Georgia State Panthers 25.4. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -307.

Prediction
Old Dominion Monarchs to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Old Dominion Monarchs 26, Georgia State Panthers 25
Projected total
51.5 points
Best bet
Over 40.5 points at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 40.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3072 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Georgia State Panthers 46% and Old Dominion Monarchs 54%. The bookmakers agree and make Old Dominion Monarchs the favourite at -112.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Georgia State Panthers won 3 of their last 5 and Old Dominion Monarchs won 2 of their last 5. Georgia State Panthers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Georgia State Panthers won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Old Dominion Monarchs won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Georgia State Panthers score 26.4 points a game and let in 31.3. Old Dominion Monarchs score 29.1 and let in 21.9. Their recent games average 57.6 and 51.0 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Georgia State Panthers won 0 and Old Dominion Monarchs won 1. The last one ended Old Dominion Monarchs 27, Georgia State Panthers 10.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 40.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Georgia Strest between games-5%
  • Old Dominionrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers: Old Dominion Monarchs shade it

The big picture

Georgia State Panthers host Old Dominion Monarchs in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Center Parc Stadium. Our prediction for Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers is Old Dominion Monarchs to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Old Dominion Monarchs 26.1 and Georgia State Panthers 25.4. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -307.

Georgia State Panthers form

Georgia State Panthers have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 369 points scored and 438 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Old Dominion Monarchs form

Old Dominion Monarchs have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 437 points scored and 328 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Georgia State Panthers won 0, Old Dominion Monarchs won 1. Last time out it finished Old Dominion Monarchs 27, Georgia State Panthers 10.

Our call

We expect Old Dominion Monarchs to score about 26.1 points and Georgia State Panthers about 25.4. That points to Old Dominion Monarchs to win. Our safest bet is Over 40.5 points at -307.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Georgia StOld Dominion
Games played1415
Wins410
Losses105
Points scored369437
Points conceded438328
Scored per game26.429.1
Conceded per game31.321.9
Home record3W 4L6W 2L
Away record1W 6L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Georgia St to win46%+117-108-11.4%
Old Dominion to win48%+109-112-9.6%
Georgia St +1.549%+105-115-8.9%
Old Dominion -1.545%+122-105-12.0%
Over 50.5 points49%+103-112-6.7%
Under 50.5 points44%+125-108-14.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Georgia St spreadCoversFair
Georgia St -6.532%+208
Georgia St -2.542%+139
Georgia St +0.549%+103
Georgia St +3.557%-131
Georgia St +7.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
44.567%33%
48.557%43%
51.550%50%
54.542%58%
58.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Georgia St +3.5 wins if Georgia St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers?

Our prediction for Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers is Old Dominion Monarchs to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Old Dominion Monarchs 26.1 and Georgia State Panthers 25.4. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -307.

What is the projected score for Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers?

We project Old Dominion Monarchs 26.1 and Georgia State Panthers 25.4, about 51.5 points in total.

How are Georgia State Panthers playing?

Georgia State Panthers have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 369 points scored and 438 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Old Dominion Monarchs playing?

Old Dominion Monarchs have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 437 points scored and 328 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Georgia State Panthers and Old Dominion Monarchs last met?

It ended Old Dominion Monarchs 27, Georgia State Panthers 10. In the last 1 meeting Georgia State Panthers won 0 and Old Dominion Monarchs won 1.

What is the best bet for Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State Panthers?

Over 40.5 points at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Georgia St against Old Dominion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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