Predictions › United States › Old Dominion Monarchs vs UConn Huskies
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Old Dominion Monarchs vs UConn Huskies prediction

Pratt & Whitney Stadium

Old Dominion MonarchsAway
21.8 : 28.1
projected points
UConn HuskiesHome
36%Old Dominion
64%UConn
Eagle safe pickOver 39.5 points
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Old Dominion Monarchs vs UConn Huskies is UConn Huskies to win, with a 64% chance. We project Old Dominion Monarchs 21.8 and UConn Huskies 28.1. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -304.

Prediction
UConn Huskies to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Old Dominion Monarchs 22, UConn Huskies 28
Projected total
50.0 points
Best bet
Over 39.5 points at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 39.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Old Dominion to win
34% chanceFair price +1971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UConn Huskies 64% and Old Dominion Monarchs 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UConn Huskies won 2 of their last 5 and Old Dominion Monarchs won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UConn Huskies won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Old Dominion Monarchs won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UConn Huskies score 33.8 points a game and let in 27.6. Old Dominion Monarchs score 23.6 and let in 22.0. Their recent games average 61.4 and 45.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 39.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Old Dominion Monarchs vs UConn Huskies: UConn Huskies are favourites

The big picture

UConn Huskies host Old Dominion Monarchs in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 15:30 at Pratt & Whitney Stadium. Our prediction for Old Dominion Monarchs vs UConn Huskies is UConn Huskies to win, with a 64% chance. We project Old Dominion Monarchs 21.8 and UConn Huskies 28.1. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -304.

UConn Huskies form

UConn Huskies have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 676 points scored and 551 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Old Dominion Monarchs form

Old Dominion Monarchs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 471 points scored and 440 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Old Dominion Monarchs to score about 21.8 points and UConn Huskies about 28.1. That points to UConn Huskies to win. Our safest bet is Over 39.5 points at -304. Our bold bet is Old Dominion to win at +197.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UConnOld Dominion
Games played2020
Wins1211
Losses89
Points scored676471
Points conceded551440
Scored per game33.823.6
Conceded per game27.622.0
Home record7W 3L6W 4L
Away record5W 5L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UConn spreadCoversFair
UConn -13.533%+206
UConn -9.542%+138
UConn -6.550%+102
UConn -3.557%-132
UConn +0.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
42.568%32%
46.559%41%
49.551%49%
52.544%56%
56.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UConn +3.5 wins if UConn win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Old Dominion Monarchs vs UConn Huskies?

Our prediction for Old Dominion Monarchs vs UConn Huskies is UConn Huskies to win, with a 64% chance. We project Old Dominion Monarchs 21.8 and UConn Huskies 28.1. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -304.

What is the projected score for Old Dominion Monarchs vs UConn Huskies?

We project Old Dominion Monarchs 21.8 and UConn Huskies 28.1, about 50.0 points in total.

How are UConn Huskies playing?

UConn Huskies have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 676 points scored and 551 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Old Dominion Monarchs playing?

Old Dominion Monarchs have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 471 points scored and 440 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Old Dominion Monarchs vs UConn Huskies?

Over 39.5 points at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UConn against Old Dominion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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