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Predictions › United Kingdom › Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday
FA CupSun 8 Nov, 17:15 United Kingdom time

Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction

Boundary Park

Oldham AthleticHome
1.97 : 1.28
expected goals
Sheffield WednesdayAway
53%Oldham
23%Draw
24%Sheffield Wed
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday is Oldham Athletic to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Oldham Athletic to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Oldham Athletic 2.0, Sheffield Wednesday 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Oldham Athletic to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oldham Athletic 53%, the draw 23% and Sheffield Wednesday 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oldham Athletic took 3 points from their last 3 games and Sheffield Wednesday took 5 from 5. Sheffield Wednesday come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Oldham Athletic score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.0. Sheffield Wednesday score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Oldham Athletic games and 8 of Sheffield Wednesday games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oldhamrecent form+1%
  • Sheffield Wedrecent form-1%
  • Oldhamrest between games-3%
  • Sheffield Wedrest between games-5%
Oldham form D L W W DSheffield Wed form D L L W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday: Oldham Athletic are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oldham Athletic host Sheffield Wednesday in the FA Cup on Sun 8 Nov, 17:15 at Boundary Park. Our prediction for Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday is Oldham Athletic to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Oldham Athletic form

Oldham Athletic have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

Sheffield Wednesday form

Sheffield Wednesday have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oldham Athletic to score about 2.0 goals and Sheffield Wednesday about 1.3. That points to Oldham Athletic to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Oldham Athletic to win and Over 2.5 at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OldhamSheffield Wed
Games played320
Wins17
Draws07
Losses26
Goals scored427
Goals conceded623
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game2.01.1
Home record1W 0D 0L4W 5D 2L
Away record0W 0D 2L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets0%25%
Both teams scored67%50%
Over 2.5 goals67%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%2/11
Over 2.5 goals63%4/7
Over 3.5 goals41%6/4
Both teams to score63%8/13
Oldham Athletic or Draw76%1/3
Sheffield Wednesday or Draw47%11/10
Oldham Athletic to win and Over 2.538%13/8
Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.517%5/1
Oldham Athletic clean sheet28%13/5
Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.6%
2-07.5%
1-07.1%
3-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Our prediction for Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday is Oldham Athletic to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Oldham Athletic to score 2.0 goals and Sheffield Wednesday 1.3.

Will both teams score in Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Oldham Athletic last 3 games and 10 of Sheffield Wednesday last 20.

How are Oldham Athletic playing?

Oldham Athletic have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from 1. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

How are Sheffield Wednesday playing?

Sheffield Wednesday have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oldham Athletic vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oldham against Sheffield Wed. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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