Predictions › United States › Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners prediction

Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

Ole Miss RebelsAway
26.9 : 28.4
projected points
Oklahoma SoonersHome
51%Ole Miss
49%Oklahoma
Eagle safe pickUnder 65.5 points
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners is Ole Miss Rebels to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ole Miss Rebels 26.9 and Oklahoma Sooners 28.4. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -301.

Prediction
Ole Miss Rebels to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Ole Miss Rebels 27, Oklahoma Sooners 28
Projected total
55.3 points
Best bet
Under 65.5 points at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 65.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ole Miss to win
44% chanceFair price +1291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma Sooners 49% and Ole Miss Rebels 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma Sooners won 2 of their last 5 and Ole Miss Rebels won 3 of their last 5. Ole Miss Rebels come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma Sooners won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Ole Miss Rebels won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma Sooners score 24.1 points a game and let in 18.5. Ole Miss Rebels score 35.9 and let in 22.1. Their recent games average 42.6 and 58.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Oklahoma Sooners won 0 and Ole Miss Rebels won 1. The last one ended Oklahoma Sooners 26, Ole Miss Rebels 34.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 65.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners: Ole Miss Rebels shade it

The big picture

Oklahoma Sooners host Ole Miss Rebels in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 00:00 at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK). Our prediction for Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners is Ole Miss Rebels to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ole Miss Rebels 26.9 and Oklahoma Sooners 28.4. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -301.

Oklahoma Sooners form

Oklahoma Sooners have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 458 points scored and 351 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Ole Miss Rebels form

Ole Miss Rebels have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 717 points scored and 443 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Oklahoma Sooners won 0, Ole Miss Rebels won 1. Last time out it finished Oklahoma Sooners 26, Ole Miss Rebels 34.

Our call

We expect Ole Miss Rebels to score about 26.9 points and Oklahoma Sooners about 28.4. That points to Ole Miss Rebels to win. Our safest bet is Under 65.5 points at -301. Our bold bet is Ole Miss to win at +129.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OklahomaOle Miss
Games played1920
Wins1216
Losses74
Points scored458717
Points conceded351443
Scored per game24.135.9
Conceded per game18.522.1
Home record7W 4L12W 1L
Away record5W 3L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Oklahoma spreadCoversFair
Oklahoma -8.533%+203
Oklahoma -4.542%+135
Oklahoma -1.550%+100
Oklahoma +1.557%-134
Oklahoma +5.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
48.566%34%
52.557%43%
55.549%51%
58.542%58%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oklahoma +3.5 wins if Oklahoma win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners?

Our prediction for Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners is Ole Miss Rebels to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ole Miss Rebels 26.9 and Oklahoma Sooners 28.4. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -301.

What is the projected score for Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners?

We project Ole Miss Rebels 26.9 and Oklahoma Sooners 28.4, about 55.3 points in total.

How are Oklahoma Sooners playing?

Oklahoma Sooners have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 458 points scored and 351 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Ole Miss Rebels playing?

Ole Miss Rebels have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 717 points scored and 443 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma Sooners and Ole Miss Rebels last met?

It ended Oklahoma Sooners 26, Ole Miss Rebels 34. In the last 1 meeting Oklahoma Sooners won 0 and Ole Miss Rebels won 1.

What is the best bet for Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners?

Under 65.5 points at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oklahoma against Ole Miss. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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