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College FootballSat 24 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns prediction

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Ole Miss RebelsAway

23.7 : 30.8

projected points

Texas LonghornsHome

33%Ole Miss

67%Texas

Eagle safe pickTexas to win

-230

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 67% chance. We project Ole Miss Rebels 23.7 and Texas Longhorns 30.8. Our best bet is Texas to win at -230.

Prediction: Texas Longhorns to win
Chance: 67%
Projected score: Ole Miss Rebels 24, Texas Longhorns 31
Projected total: 54.5 points
Best bet: Texas to win at -230

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Texas to win

67% chancePrice -2301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Texas Longhorns 67% and Ole Miss Rebels 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Texas Longhorns the favourite at -230.
2
Recent form
Texas Longhorns won 4 of their last 5 and Ole Miss Rebels won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Texas Longhorns won 10 of their last 10 games at home. Ole Miss Rebels won 4 of their last 6 on the road.
4
Scoring
Texas Longhorns score 31.8 points a game and let in 20.2. Ole Miss Rebels score 36.4 and let in 23.7. Their recent games average 51.9 and 60.1 points in total, and the market line is 53.5.
5
The safest bet
Texas to win has a 67% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns: Texas Longhorns are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Texas Longhorns host Ole Miss Rebels in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 67% chance. We project Ole Miss Rebels 23.7 and Texas Longhorns 30.8. Our best bet is Texas to win at -230.

Texas Longhorns form

Texas Longhorns have 13 wins and 3 losses in their last 16 games, with 508 points scored and 323 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Ole Miss Rebels form

Ole Miss Rebels have 15 wins and 3 losses in their last 18 games, with 655 points scored and 426 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ole Miss Rebels to score about 23.7 points and Texas Longhorns about 30.8. That points to Texas Longhorns to win. Our safest bet is Texas to win at -230.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

	Texas	Ole Miss
Games played	16	18
Wins	13	15
Losses	3	3
Points scored	508	655
Points conceded	323	426
Scored per game	31.8	36.4
Conceded per game	20.2	23.7
Home record	10W 0L	11W 1L
Away record	3W 3L	4W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Texas to win	67%	-200	-230	-4.3%
Ole Miss to win	31%	+220	+190	-9.3%
Texas -6.5	49%	+103	-110	-6.2%
Ole Miss +6.5	47%	+113	-110	-10.3%
Over 53.5 points	50%	+100	-110	-4.7%
Under 53.5 points	46%	+116	-110	-11.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Texas spread	Covers	Fair
Texas -14.5	32%	+211
Texas -10.5	42%	+141
Texas -7.5	49%	+104
Texas -4.5	56%	-129
Texas -0.5	66%	-194

Total points	Over	Under
47.5	67%	33%
51.5	57%	43%
54.5	50%	50%
57.5	43%	57%
61.5	33%	67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas +3.5 wins if Texas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

College Football

Sarkisian Prepares for Headset Silence With Trump Attending Texas vs Tennessee

Texas coach Steve Sarkisian is preparing for sudden headset blackouts when President Donald Trump attends Saturday's game against Tennessee.

24 Sept 2026

College Football

Johnny Knoxville Set as Guest Picker for Week 4 Clash in Tennessee

College GameDay is heading to Knoxville for a massive matchup between Texas and Tennessee, featuring actor Johnny Knoxville as the guest picker.

24 Sept 2026

College Football

Lane Kiffin Faces Emotional Return as LSU Falls to Ole Miss

LSU coach Lane Kiffin felt a wave of gratitude during his return to Oxford, but his Tigers fell 32-24 to Ole Miss after a late comeback fell short.

20 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns?

Our prediction for Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 67% chance. We project Ole Miss Rebels 23.7 and Texas Longhorns 30.8. Our best bet is Texas to win at -230.

What is the projected score for Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns?

We project Ole Miss Rebels 23.7 and Texas Longhorns 30.8, about 54.5 points in total.

How are Texas Longhorns playing?

How are Ole Miss Rebels playing?

What is the best bet for Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns?

Texas to win at -230, with a 67% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Texas against Ole Miss. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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