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Predictions › Greece › Olympiacos vs Iraklis
Greek Super LeagueSun 22 Nov, 17:00 Greece time

Olympiacos vs Iraklis prediction

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

OlympiacosHome
2.52 : 0.75
expected goals
IraklisAway
76%Olympiacos
16%Draw
8%Iraklis
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Olympiacos vs Iraklis is Olympiacos to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Olympiacos to win
Chance
76%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Olympiacos 2.5, Iraklis 0.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Olympiacos to win and both score
32% chanceFair price 3.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Olympiacos 76%, the draw 16% and Iraklis 8%. The bookmakers agree and make Olympiacos the favourite at 1.15.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Olympiacos took 11 points from their last 5 games and Iraklis took 4 from 5. Olympiacos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Olympiacos won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Iraklis won 1 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Olympiacos score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.6. Iraklis score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Olympiacos games and 4 of Iraklis games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Olympiacosrecent form+4%
  • Iraklisrecent form-1%
Olympiacos form D D W W WIraklis form D D L L WHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Olympiacos vs Iraklis: Olympiacos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Olympiacos host Iraklis in the Greek Super League on Sun 22 Nov, 17:00 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium. Our prediction for Olympiacos vs Iraklis is Olympiacos to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Olympiacos form

Olympiacos have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Iraklis form

Iraklis have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 11 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Olympiacos to score about 2.5 goals and Iraklis about 0.8. That points to Olympiacos to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Olympiacos to win and both score at 3.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OlympiacosIraklis
Games played2010
Wins122
Draws54
Losses34
Goals scored2611
Goals conceded1214
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game0.61.4
Home record6W 2D 2L1W 1D 2L
Away record6W 3D 1L1W 3D 2L
Clean sheets55%30%
Both teams scored35%60%
Over 2.5 goals20%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Olympiacos to win76%1.321.15-12.3%
A Draw15%6.647.00+5.3%
Iraklis to win8%12.5313.00+3.7%
Over 3.5 goals41%2.462.15-12.6%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.901.59-16.5%
Olympiacos -2.537%2.702.25-16.8%
Iraklis +2.558%1.731.53-11.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.42
Both teams to score49%2.05
Olympiacos or Draw92%1.09
Iraklis or Draw24%4.09
Olympiacos to win and Over 2.554%1.84
Iraklis to win and Over 2.55%19.96
Olympiacos clean sheet47%2.11
Iraklis clean sheet8%12.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.1%
3-010.2%
1-09.1%
2-19.0%
3-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Olympiacos vs Iraklis?

Our prediction for Olympiacos vs Iraklis is Olympiacos to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Olympiacos vs Iraklis?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 1-0. We expect Olympiacos to score 2.5 goals and Iraklis 0.8.

Will both teams score in Olympiacos vs Iraklis?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Olympiacos last 20 games and 6 of Iraklis last 10.

How are Olympiacos playing?

Olympiacos have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Iraklis playing?

Iraklis have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 11 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Olympiacos vs Iraklis?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Olympiacos against Iraklis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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