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Predictions › Greece › Olympiacos vs PAOK
Greek Super LeagueSun 8 Nov, 19:00 Greece time

Olympiacos vs PAOK prediction

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

OlympiacosHome
1.49 : 0.80
expected goals
PAOKAway
53%Olympiacos
28%Draw
19%PAOK
Eagle safe pickOlympiacos or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Olympiacos vs PAOK is Olympiacos to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Olympiacos or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Olympiacos to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Olympiacos 1.5, PAOK 0.8
Best bet
Olympiacos or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Olympiacos or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Olympiacos to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Olympiacos 53%, the draw 28% and PAOK 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Olympiacos took 15 points from their last 5 games and PAOK took 9 from 5. Olympiacos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Olympiacos won 6 of their last 11 games at home. PAOK won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Olympiacos score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.5. PAOK score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Olympiacos games and 13 of PAOK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Olympiacos won 0 and PAOK won 2 with 2 draws. The last one ended Olympiacos 1, PAOK 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Olympiacos or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Olympiacosrecent form+6%
  • PAOKrecent form+3%
Olympiacos form D W W W WPAOK form D W L W WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Olympiacos vs PAOK: Olympiacos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Olympiacos host PAOK in the Greek Super League on Sun 8 Nov, 19:00 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium. Our prediction for Olympiacos vs PAOK is Olympiacos to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Olympiacos or Draw at 1.24.

Olympiacos form

Olympiacos have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

PAOK form

PAOK have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Olympiacos won 0, PAOK won 2 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Olympiacos 1, PAOK 1.

Our call

We expect Olympiacos to score about 1.5 goals and PAOK about 0.8. That points to Olympiacos to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Olympiacos or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Olympiacos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OlympiacosPAOK
Games played2020
Wins129
Draws55
Losses36
Goals scored2533
Goals conceded923
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game0.51.1
Home record6W 3D 2L6W 2D 1L
Away record6W 2D 1L3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets65%30%
Both teams scored25%60%
Over 2.5 goals20%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.50
Over 3.5 goals20%5.07
Both teams to score43%2.32
Olympiacos or Draw81%1.24
PAOK or Draw47%2.12
Olympiacos to win and Over 2.527%3.68
PAOK to win and Over 2.59%11.49
Olympiacos clean sheet45%2.21
PAOK clean sheet23%4.43

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.5%
1-112.8%
2-011.3%
0-010.9%
2-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Olympiacos vs PAOK?

Our prediction for Olympiacos vs PAOK is Olympiacos to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Olympiacos or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Olympiacos vs PAOK?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Olympiacos to score 1.5 goals and PAOK 0.8.

Will both teams score in Olympiacos vs PAOK?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Olympiacos last 20 games and 12 of PAOK last 20.

How are Olympiacos playing?

Olympiacos have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are PAOK playing?

PAOK have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Olympiacos and PAOK last met?

It ended Olympiacos 1, PAOK 1. In the last 4 meetings Olympiacos won 0 and PAOK won 2.

What is the best bet for Olympiacos vs PAOK?

Olympiacos or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Olympiacos against PAOK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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