EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Colombia › Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas
Colombian Primera ASat 7 Nov, 19:00 Colombia time

Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas prediction

Palogrande

Once CaldasHome
1.48 : 1.11
expected goals
Águilas DoradasAway
45%Once Caldas
27%Draw
28%Águilas Doradas
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas is Once Caldas to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Once Caldas to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Once Caldas 1.5, Águilas Doradas 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Once Caldas to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Once Caldas 45%, the draw 27% and Águilas Doradas 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Once Caldas took 9 points from their last 5 games and Águilas Doradas took 8 from 5. Once Caldas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Once Caldas won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Águilas Doradas won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Once Caldas score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Águilas Doradas score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Once Caldas games and 10 of Águilas Doradas games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Once Caldas won 0 and Águilas Doradas won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Águilas Doradas 2, Once Caldas 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Once Caldasrecent form+3%
  • Águilas Doradasrest between games-5%
Once Caldas form D D W W DÁguilas Doradas form D L W D DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas: Once Caldas shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Once Caldas host Águilas Doradas in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at Palogrande. Our prediction for Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas is Once Caldas to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Once Caldas form

Once Caldas have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Águilas Doradas form

Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Once Caldas won 0, Águilas Doradas won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Águilas Doradas 2, Once Caldas 2.

Our call

We expect Once Caldas to score about 1.5 goals and Águilas Doradas about 1.1. That points to Once Caldas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Once Caldas to win and Over 2.5 at 3.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Once CaldasÁguilas Doradas
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws88
Losses66
Goals scored2525
Goals conceded2328
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record4W 1D 4L3W 5D 1L
Away record2W 7D 2L3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals35%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.10
Over 3.5 goals26%3.84
Both teams to score52%1.91
Once Caldas or Draw72%1.38
Águilas Doradas or Draw55%1.81
Once Caldas to win and Over 2.526%3.81
Águilas Doradas to win and Over 2.515%6.48
Once Caldas clean sheet33%3.03
Águilas Doradas clean sheet23%4.37

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-010.4%
2-19.1%
0-08.3%
2-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?

Our prediction for Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas is Once Caldas to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Once Caldas to score 1.5 goals and Águilas Doradas 1.1.

Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Once Caldas last 20 games and 12 of Águilas Doradas last 20.

How are Once Caldas playing?

Once Caldas have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Águilas Doradas playing?

Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Once Caldas and Águilas Doradas last met?

It ended Águilas Doradas 2, Once Caldas 2. In the last 1 meeting Once Caldas won 0 and Águilas Doradas won 0.

What is the best bet for Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Once Caldas against Águilas Doradas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.