Predictions › Colombia › Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga

Colombian Primera ASat 26 Sept, 01:15 Colombia time

Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga prediction

Palogrande

Once CaldasHome

1.32 : 1.21

expected goals

Atlético BucaramangaAway

39%Once Caldas

28%Draw

33%Bucaramanga

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Once Caldas to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Once Caldas to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Once Caldas 1.3, Atlético Bucaramanga 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Once Caldas 39%, the draw 28% and Atlético Bucaramanga 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Once Caldas took 5 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Bucaramanga took 9 from 5. Atlético Bucaramanga come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Once Caldas won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Atlético Bucaramanga won 4 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Goals
Once Caldas score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Once Caldas games and 9 of Atlético Bucaramanga games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Once Caldas won 0 and Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atlético Bucaramanga 1, Once Caldas 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bucaramangarecent form+3%
Once Caldasrest between games-2%
Bucaramangarest between games-2%

Once Caldas form L W L W DBucaramanga form W D D W DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga: Once Caldas shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Once Caldas host Atlético Bucaramanga in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 26 Sept, 01:15 at Palogrande. Our prediction for Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Once Caldas to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Once Caldas form

Once Caldas have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Atlético Bucaramanga form

Atlético Bucaramanga have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Once Caldas won 0, Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Bucaramanga 1, Once Caldas 1.

Our call

We expect Once Caldas to score about 1.3 goals and Atlético Bucaramanga about 1.2. That points to Once Caldas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.42.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Once Caldas	Bucaramanga
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	6
Draws	9	8
Losses	5	6
Goals scored	29	26
Goals conceded	26	22
Scored per game	1.4	1.3
Conceded per game	1.3	1.1
Home record	4W 1D 4L	2W 5D 1L
Away record	2W 8D 1L	4W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	46%	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	25%	4.01
Both teams to score	52%	1.91
Once Caldas or Draw	67%	1.50
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw	61%	1.63
Once Caldas to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.57
Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.41
Once Caldas clean sheet	30%	3.35
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet	27%	3.76

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%

1-09.8%

0-18.8%

0-08.7%

2-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Our prediction for Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Once Caldas to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Once Caldas to score 1.3 goals and Atlético Bucaramanga 1.2.

Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Once Caldas last 20 games and 11 of Atlético Bucaramanga last 20.

How are Once Caldas playing?

How are Atlético Bucaramanga playing?

What happened when Once Caldas and Atlético Bucaramanga last met?

It ended Atlético Bucaramanga 1, Once Caldas 1. In the last 1 meeting Once Caldas won 0 and Atlético Bucaramanga won 0.

What is the best bet for Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Once Caldas against Bucaramanga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.