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Predictions › Colombia › Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC
Colombian Primera ASat 10 Oct, 21:00 Colombia time

Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC prediction

Palogrande

Once CaldasHome
1.55 : 1.15
expected goals
Llaneros FCAway
46%Once Caldas
27%Draw
27%Llaneros FC
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC is Once Caldas to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Once Caldas to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Once Caldas 1.6, Llaneros FC 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Once Caldas to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Once Caldas 46%, the draw 27% and Llaneros FC 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Once Caldas took 3 points from their last 5 games and Llaneros FC took 3 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Once Caldas won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Llaneros FC won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Once Caldas score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Llaneros FC score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Once Caldas games and 7 of Llaneros FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Once Caldas won 0 and Llaneros FC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Llaneros FC 1, Once Caldas 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Once Caldasrecent form-1%
  • Llaneros FCrecent form-1%
Once Caldas form L L W L WLlaneros FC form L W L L WHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC: Once Caldas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Once Caldas host Llaneros FC in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 10 Oct, 21:00 at Palogrande. Our prediction for Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC is Once Caldas to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Once Caldas form

Once Caldas have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Once Caldas won 0, Llaneros FC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Llaneros FC 1, Once Caldas 1.

Our call

We expect Once Caldas to score about 1.6 goals and Llaneros FC about 1.1. That points to Once Caldas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Once Caldas to win and Over 2.5 at 3.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Once CaldasLlaneros FC
Games played2020
Wins55
Draws87
Losses78
Goals scored2419
Goals conceded2725
Scored per game1.20.9
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record4W 1D 5L3W 3D 2L
Away record1W 7D 2L2W 4D 6L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.51
Both teams to score54%1.84
Once Caldas or Draw73%1.38
Llaneros FC or Draw54%1.85
Once Caldas to win and Over 2.528%3.56
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.516%6.27
Once Caldas clean sheet32%3.14
Llaneros FC clean sheet21%4.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-09.8%
2-19.3%
2-08.1%
0-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC?

Our prediction for Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC is Once Caldas to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Once Caldas to score 1.6 goals and Llaneros FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Once Caldas last 20 games and 10 of Llaneros FC last 20.

How are Once Caldas playing?

Once Caldas have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Llaneros FC playing?

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Once Caldas and Llaneros FC last met?

It ended Llaneros FC 1, Once Caldas 1. In the last 2 meetings Once Caldas won 0 and Llaneros FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Once Caldas vs Llaneros FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Once Caldas against Llaneros FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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