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Predictions › United States › Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans
College FootballFri 20 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans prediction

Spartan Stadium

Oregon DucksAway
29.3 : 25.0
projected points
Michigan State SpartansHome
62%Oregon
38%Michigan St
Eagle safe pickMichigan St +14.5
-298

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans is Oregon Ducks to win, with a 62% chance. We project Oregon Ducks 29.3 and Michigan State Spartans 25.0. Our best bet is Michigan St +14.5 at -298.

Prediction
Oregon Ducks to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Oregon Ducks 29, Michigan State Spartans 25
Projected total
54.3 points
Best bet
Michigan St +14.5 at -298

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Michigan St +14.5
75% chanceFair price -2981 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Michigan St to win
38% chanceFair price +1611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Michigan State Spartans 38% and Oregon Ducks 62%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Michigan State Spartans won 1 of their last 5 and Oregon Ducks won 3 of their last 5. Oregon Ducks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Michigan State Spartans won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Oregon Ducks won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Michigan State Spartans score 21.3 points a game and let in 27.6. Oregon Ducks score 32.9 and let in 21.5. Their recent games average 48.9 and 54.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Michigan St +14.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oregonteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans: Oregon Ducks are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Michigan State Spartans host Oregon Ducks in the College Football on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00 at Spartan Stadium. Our prediction for Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans is Oregon Ducks to win, with a 62% chance. We project Oregon Ducks 29.3 and Michigan State Spartans 25.0. Our best bet is Michigan St +14.5 at -298.

Michigan State Spartans form

Michigan State Spartans have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 404 points scored and 525 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Oregon Ducks form

Oregon Ducks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 658 points scored and 430 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oregon Ducks to score about 29.3 points and Michigan State Spartans about 25.0. That points to Oregon Ducks to win. Our safest bet is Michigan St +14.5 at -298. Our bold bet is Michigan St to win at +161.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Michigan StOregon
Games played1920
Wins515
Losses145
Points scored404658
Points conceded525430
Scored per game21.332.9
Conceded per game27.621.5
Home record4W 6L8W 2L
Away record1W 8L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Michigan St spreadCoversFair
Michigan St -2.534%+197
Michigan St +1.543%+132
Michigan St +4.551%-103
Michigan St +7.558%-138
Michigan St +11.567%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
47.566%34%
51.557%43%
54.550%50%
57.542%58%
61.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Michigan St +3.5 wins if Michigan St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Michigan Expected to Play Both Carr and Underwood Against Oregon

Michigan will reportedly play both Tommy Carr and Bryce Underwood at quarterback this Saturday against Oregon.

4 hours ago
College Football

Oregon Star Defender Teitum Tuioti Out for Season After Knee Injury

Oregon outside linebacker Teitum Tuioti will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury suffered in the win over Ohio State.

23 hours ago
College Football

Raiola Leads Oregon Past Northwestern in 34-26 Comeback

Dylan Raiola threw three touchdown passes as Oregon overcame an early deficit to defeat Northwestern 34-26 in Eugene.

31 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans?

Our prediction for Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans is Oregon Ducks to win, with a 62% chance. We project Oregon Ducks 29.3 and Michigan State Spartans 25.0. Our best bet is Michigan St +14.5 at -298.

What is the projected score for Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans?

We project Oregon Ducks 29.3 and Michigan State Spartans 25.0, about 54.3 points in total.

How are Michigan State Spartans playing?

Michigan State Spartans have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 404 points scored and 525 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Oregon Ducks playing?

Oregon Ducks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 658 points scored and 430 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans?

Michigan St +14.5 at -298, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Michigan St against Oregon. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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