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Predictions › United States › Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 23:00 United States time

Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs prediction

Valley Children's Stadium

Oregon State BeaversAway
23.6 : 27.6
projected points
Fresno State BulldogsHome
45%Oregon St
55%Fresno St
Eagle safe pickFresno St +6.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs is Fresno State Bulldogs to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oregon State Beavers 23.6 and Fresno State Bulldogs 27.6. Our best bet is Fresno St +6.5 at -304.

Prediction
Fresno State Bulldogs to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Oregon State Beavers 24, Fresno State Bulldogs 28
Projected total
51.3 points
Best bet
Fresno St +6.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Fresno St +6.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Oregon St to win
40% chanceFair price +1471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fresno State Bulldogs 55% and Oregon State Beavers 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fresno State Bulldogs won 3 of their last 5 and Oregon State Beavers won 5 of their last 5. Oregon State Beavers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fresno State Bulldogs won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Oregon State Beavers won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Fresno State Bulldogs score 26.1 points a game and let in 18.7. Oregon State Beavers score 27.9 and let in 26.2. Their recent games average 44.8 and 54.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Fresno St +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs: Fresno State Bulldogs shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fresno State Bulldogs host Oregon State Beavers in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 23:00 at Valley Children's Stadium. Our prediction for Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs is Fresno State Bulldogs to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oregon State Beavers 23.6 and Fresno State Bulldogs 27.6. Our best bet is Fresno St +6.5 at -304.

Fresno State Bulldogs form

Fresno State Bulldogs have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 443 points scored and 318 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Oregon State Beavers form

Oregon State Beavers have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 475 points scored and 445 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oregon State Beavers to score about 23.6 points and Fresno State Bulldogs about 27.6. That points to Fresno State Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Fresno St +6.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Oregon St to win at +147.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Fresno StOregon St
Games played1717
Wins117
Losses610
Points scored443475
Points conceded318445
Scored per game26.127.9
Conceded per game18.726.2
Home record6W 3L5W 4L
Away record5W 3L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Fresno St spreadCoversFair
Fresno St -10.534%+193
Fresno St -6.544%+129
Fresno St -3.551%-105
Fresno St -0.559%-142
Fresno St +3.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
44.566%34%
48.557%43%
51.549%51%
54.542%58%
58.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Fresno St +3.5 wins if Fresno St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Our prediction for Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs is Fresno State Bulldogs to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Oregon State Beavers 23.6 and Fresno State Bulldogs 27.6. Our best bet is Fresno St +6.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

We project Oregon State Beavers 23.6 and Fresno State Bulldogs 27.6, about 51.3 points in total.

How are Fresno State Bulldogs playing?

Fresno State Bulldogs have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 443 points scored and 318 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Oregon State Beavers playing?

Oregon State Beavers have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 475 points scored and 445 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs?

Fresno St +6.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fresno St against Oregon St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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