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Predictions › Sweden › Örgryte IS vs GAIS
AllsvenskanSun 18 Oct, 14:30 Sweden time

Örgryte IS vs GAIS prediction

Gamla Ullevi

Örgryte ISHome
1.27 : 1.40
expected goals
GAISAway
33%Örgryte
27%Draw
39%GAIS
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
GAIS to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Örgryte IS 1.3, GAIS 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Örgryte IS 33%, the draw 27% and GAIS 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Örgryte IS took 2 points from their last 5 games and GAIS took 7 from 5. GAIS come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Örgryte IS won 1 of their last 10 games at home. GAIS won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Örgryte IS score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.3. GAIS score 1.4 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Örgryte IS games and 7 of GAIS games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Örgryte IS won 0 and GAIS won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended GAIS 4, Örgryte IS 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Örgryterecent form-4%
Örgryte form L L D L DGAIS form W L D W LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Örgryte IS vs GAIS: GAIS shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Örgryte IS host GAIS in the Allsvenskan on Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Örgryte IS form

Örgryte IS have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

GAIS form

GAIS have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Örgryte IS won 0, GAIS won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished GAIS 4, Örgryte IS 0.

Our call

We expect Örgryte IS to score about 1.3 goals and GAIS about 1.4. That points to GAIS to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ÖrgryteGAIS
Games played2020
Wins28
Draws56
Losses136
Goals scored2027
Goals conceded4616
Scored per game1.01.4
Conceded per game2.30.8
Home record1W 5D 4L5W 4D 1L
Away record1W 0D 9L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets15%50%
Both teams scored55%30%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.00
Over 3.5 goals28%3.56
Both teams to score55%1.82
Örgryte IS or Draw61%1.65
GAIS or Draw67%1.50
Örgryte IS to win and Over 2.520%5.07
GAIS to win and Over 2.524%4.23
Örgryte IS clean sheet25%4.07
GAIS clean sheet28%3.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
0-18.9%
1-28.6%
1-08.0%
2-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Örgryte IS vs GAIS?

Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Örgryte IS vs GAIS?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Örgryte IS to score 1.3 goals and GAIS 1.4.

Will both teams score in Örgryte IS vs GAIS?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Örgryte IS last 20 games and 6 of GAIS last 20.

How are Örgryte IS playing?

Örgryte IS have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are GAIS playing?

GAIS have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Örgryte IS and GAIS last met?

It ended GAIS 4, Örgryte IS 0. In the last 1 meeting Örgryte IS won 0 and GAIS won 1.

What is the best bet for Örgryte IS vs GAIS?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Örgryte against GAIS. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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