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Predictions › Sweden › Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius
AllsvenskanSat 19 Sept, 15:30 Sweden time

Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius prediction

Gamla Ullevi

Örgryte ISHome
1.34 : 2.31
expected goals
IK SiriusAway
21%Örgryte
20%Draw
59%Sirius
Eagle safe pickIK Sirius or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius is IK Sirius to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is IK Sirius or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
IK Sirius to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Örgryte IS 1.3, IK Sirius 2.3
Best bet
IK Sirius or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

IK Sirius or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

IK Sirius to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Örgryte IS 21%, the draw 20% and IK Sirius 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Örgryte IS took 2 points from their last 5 games and IK Sirius took 4 from 5. IK Sirius come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Örgryte IS won 1 of their last 10 games at home. IK Sirius won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Örgryte IS score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. IK Sirius score 2.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Örgryte IS games and 15 of IK Sirius games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Örgryte IS won 0 and IK Sirius won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended IK Sirius 2, Örgryte IS 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    IK Sirius or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Örgryterecent form-4%
  • Siriusrecent form-3%
Örgryte form D L D L LSirius form W L L L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius: IK Sirius are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Örgryte IS host IK Sirius in the Allsvenskan on Sat 19 Sept, 15:30 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius is IK Sirius to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is IK Sirius or Draw at 1.22.

Örgryte IS form

Örgryte IS have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

IK Sirius form

IK Sirius have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Örgryte IS won 0, IK Sirius won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IK Sirius 2, Örgryte IS 0.

Our call

We expect Örgryte IS to score about 1.3 goals and IK Sirius about 2.3. That points to IK Sirius to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is IK Sirius or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is IK Sirius to win and Over 2.5 at 2.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ÖrgryteSirius
Games played2020
Wins314
Draws63
Losses113
Goals scored2148
Goals conceded4127
Scored per game1.12.4
Conceded per game2.01.4
Home record1W 6D 3L6W 2D 2L
Away record2W 0D 8L8W 1D 1L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.42
Over 3.5 goals50%2.02
Both teams to score67%1.49
Örgryte IS or Draw41%2.42
IK Sirius or Draw79%1.26
Örgryte IS to win and Over 2.516%6.43
IK Sirius to win and Over 2.546%2.16
Örgryte IS clean sheet10%10.08
IK Sirius clean sheet26%3.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.3%
1-18.5%
1-37.2%
0-26.9%
2-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius?

Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius is IK Sirius to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is IK Sirius or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-3. We expect Örgryte IS to score 1.3 goals and IK Sirius 2.3.

Will both teams score in Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Örgryte IS last 20 games and 12 of IK Sirius last 20.

How are Örgryte IS playing?

Örgryte IS have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are IK Sirius playing?

IK Sirius have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Örgryte IS and IK Sirius last met?

It ended IK Sirius 2, Örgryte IS 0. In the last 1 meeting Örgryte IS won 0 and IK Sirius won 1.

What is the best bet for Örgryte IS vs IK Sirius?

IK Sirius or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Örgryte against Sirius. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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