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Predictions › Sweden › Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF
AllsvenskanThu 29 Oct, 18:00 Sweden time

Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF prediction

Gamla Ullevi

Örgryte ISHome
1.54 : 1.58
expected goals
Mjällby AIFAway
37%Örgryte
25%Draw
38%Mjällby
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Mjällby AIF to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Örgryte IS 1.5, Mjällby AIF 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Örgryte IS 37%, the draw 25% and Mjällby AIF 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Örgryte IS took 4 points from their last 5 games and Mjällby AIF took 5 from 5. Mjällby AIF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Örgryte IS won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Mjällby AIF won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Örgryte IS score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. Mjällby AIF score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Örgryte IS games and 9 of Mjällby AIF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Örgryte IS won 1 and Mjällby AIF won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Mjällby AIF 0, Örgryte IS 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Örgryterecent form-4%
  • Örgryterest between games-5%
  • Mjällbyrest between games-5%
Örgryte form D L L L DMjällby form D W D L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: Mjällby AIF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Örgryte IS host Mjällby AIF in the Allsvenskan on Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Örgryte IS form

Örgryte IS have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Mjällby AIF form

Mjällby AIF have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Örgryte IS won 1, Mjällby AIF won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Mjällby AIF 0, Örgryte IS 2.

Our call

We expect Örgryte IS to score about 1.5 goals and Mjällby AIF about 1.6. That points to Mjällby AIF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.5 at 3.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ÖrgryteMjällby
Games played2020
Wins34
Draws57
Losses129
Goals scored2225
Goals conceded4135
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game2.01.8
Home record2W 5D 3L2W 2D 6L
Away record1W 0D 9L2W 5D 3L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.21
Over 2.5 goals60%1.66
Over 3.5 goals38%2.65
Both teams to score63%1.59
Örgryte IS or Draw62%1.62
Mjällby AIF or Draw63%1.58
Örgryte IS to win and Over 2.525%3.98
Mjällby AIF to win and Over 2.526%3.78
Örgryte IS clean sheet21%4.84
Mjällby AIF clean sheet22%4.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%
2-26.5%
0-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?

Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF is Mjällby AIF to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Örgryte IS to score 1.5 goals and Mjällby AIF 1.6.

Will both teams score in Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Örgryte IS last 20 games and 12 of Mjällby AIF last 20.

How are Örgryte IS playing?

Örgryte IS have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Mjällby AIF playing?

Mjällby AIF have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Örgryte IS and Mjällby AIF last met?

It ended Mjällby AIF 0, Örgryte IS 2. In the last 1 meeting Örgryte IS won 1 and Mjällby AIF won 0.

What is the best bet for Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Örgryte against Mjällby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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