Predictions › Sweden › Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK

AllsvenskanSat 7 Nov, 16:30 Sweden time

Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK prediction

Gamla Ullevi

Örgryte ISHome

1.71 : 1.75

expected goals

Västerås SKAway

37%Örgryte

24%Draw

39%Västerås

Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score

1.48

Quick answer

Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK is Västerås SK to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.48.

Prediction: Västerås SK to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Örgryte IS 1.7, Västerås SK 1.8
Best bet: Both teams to score at 1.48
Both teams to score: 68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score

68% chanceFair price 1.481 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Västerås SK to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Örgryte IS 37%, the draw 24% and Västerås SK 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Örgryte IS took 4 points from their last 5 games and Västerås SK took 9 from 5. Västerås SK come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Örgryte IS won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Västerås SK won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Örgryte IS score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.1. Västerås SK score 1.5 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Örgryte IS games and 9 of Västerås SK games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Örgryte IS won 0 and Västerås SK won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Västerås SK 2, Örgryte IS 0.
6
The safest bet
Both teams to score has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Örgryterecent form-3%
Västeråsrest between games-5%

Örgryte form D W L L LVästerås form D L W L WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK: Västerås SK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Örgryte IS host Västerås SK in the Allsvenskan on Sat 7 Nov, 16:30 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK is Västerås SK to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.48.

Örgryte IS form

Örgryte IS have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Västerås SK form

Västerås SK have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Örgryte IS won 0, Västerås SK won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Västerås SK 2, Örgryte IS 0.

Our call

We expect Örgryte IS to score about 1.7 goals and Västerås SK about 1.8. That points to Västerås SK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at 1.48. Our bold bet is Västerås SK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Örgryte	Västerås
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	10
Draws	5	3
Losses	12	7
Goals scored	23	30
Goals conceded	42	25
Scored per game	1.1	1.5
Conceded per game	2.1	1.3
Home record	2W 4D 3L	5W 2D 4L
Away record	1W 1D 9L	5W 1D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	87%	1.16
Over 2.5 goals	67%	1.49
Over 3.5 goals	45%	2.20
Both teams to score	68%	1.47
Örgryte IS or Draw	61%	1.64
Västerås SK or Draw	63%	1.60
Örgryte IS to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.58
Västerås SK to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.41
Örgryte IS clean sheet	17%	5.75
Västerås SK clean sheet	18%	5.51

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%

1-28.2%

2-18.0%

2-27.0%

0-15.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK?

Our prediction for Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK is Västerås SK to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.48.

What is the score prediction for Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Örgryte IS to score 1.7 goals and Västerås SK 1.8.

Will both teams score in Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Örgryte IS last 20 games and 7 of Västerås SK last 20.

How are Örgryte IS playing?

How are Västerås SK playing?

What happened when Örgryte IS and Västerås SK last met?

It ended Västerås SK 2, Örgryte IS 0. In the last 1 meeting Örgryte IS won 0 and Västerås SK won 1.

What is the best bet for Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK?

Both teams to score at 1.48, with a 68% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Örgryte against Västerås. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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