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Predictions › United States › Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew
MLSSat 10 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew prediction

Inter&Co Stadium

Orlando City SCHome
1.87 : 1.33
expected goals
Columbus CrewAway
49%Orlando
24%Draw
27%Columbus
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-429

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew is Orlando City SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -429.

Prediction
Orlando City SC to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Orlando City SC 1.9, Columbus Crew 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -429
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price -4292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price +1971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Orlando City SC 49%, the draw 24% and Columbus Crew 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Orlando City SC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Columbus Crew took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Orlando City SC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Columbus Crew won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Orlando City SC score 2.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. Columbus Crew score 1.5 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Orlando City SC games and 15 of Columbus Crew games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Orlando City SC won 0 and Columbus Crew won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Columbus Crew 1, Orlando City SC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Orlandorecent form-1%
  • Columbusrecent form+1%
Orlando form L L L W WColumbus form W W W L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew: Orlando City SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Orlando City SC host Columbus Crew in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 at Inter&Co Stadium. Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew is Orlando City SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -429.

Orlando City SC form

Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Columbus Crew form

Columbus Crew have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Orlando City SC won 0, Columbus Crew won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Columbus Crew 1, Orlando City SC 1.

Our call

We expect Orlando City SC to score about 1.9 goals and Columbus Crew about 1.3. That points to Orlando City SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -429. Our bold bet is Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5 at +197.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OrlandoColumbus
Games played2020
Wins97
Draws32
Losses811
Goals scored4230
Goals conceded4033
Scored per game2.11.5
Conceded per game2.01.6
Home record6W 2D 2L6W 0D 5L
Away record3W 1D 6L1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%-508
Over 2.5 goals62%-164
Over 3.5 goals40%+151
Both teams to score63%-170
Orlando City SC or Draw73%-273
Columbus Crew or Draw51%-102
Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.535%+183
Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.518%+444
Orlando City SC clean sheet26%+280
Columbus Crew clean sheet15%+549

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
2-19.5%
2-07.1%
1-07.0%
1-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew is Orlando City SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -429.

What is the score prediction for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Orlando City SC to score 1.9 goals and Columbus Crew 1.3.

Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Orlando City SC last 20 games and 14 of Columbus Crew last 20.

How are Orlando City SC playing?

Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Columbus Crew playing?

Columbus Crew have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Orlando City SC and Columbus Crew last met?

It ended Columbus Crew 1, Orlando City SC 1. In the last 2 meetings Orlando City SC won 0 and Columbus Crew won 0.

What is the best bet for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

Over 1.5 goals at -429, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Orlando against Columbus. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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