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Predictions › United States › Orlando City SC vs D.C. United
MLSSat 17 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Orlando City SC vs D.C. United prediction

Inter&Co Stadium

Orlando City SCHome
1.59 : 1.27
expected goals
D.C. UnitedAway
44%Orlando
26%Draw
30%D.C. United
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-327

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs D.C. United is Orlando City SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -327.

Prediction
Orlando City SC to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Orlando City SC 1.6, D.C. United 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -327
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price +2531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Orlando City SC 44%, the draw 26% and D.C. United 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Orlando City SC took 9 points from their last 5 games and D.C. United took 6 from 5. Orlando City SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Orlando City SC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. D.C. United won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Orlando City SC score 2.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. D.C. United score 1.5 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Orlando City SC games and 12 of D.C. United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Orlando City SC won 0 and D.C. United won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended D.C. United 3, Orlando City SC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Orlandorecent form-1%
Orlando form L L L W WD.C. United form D L D W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Orlando City SC vs D.C. United: Orlando City SC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Orlando City SC host D.C. United in the MLS on Sat 17 Oct, 19:30 at Inter&Co Stadium. Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs D.C. United is Orlando City SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -327.

Orlando City SC form

Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

D.C. United form

D.C. United have 4 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Orlando City SC won 0, D.C. United won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished D.C. United 3, Orlando City SC 2.

Our call

We expect Orlando City SC to score about 1.6 goals and D.C. United about 1.3. That points to Orlando City SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -327. Our bold bet is Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5 at +253.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OrlandoD.C. United
Games played2020
Wins94
Draws311
Losses85
Goals scored4230
Goals conceded4034
Scored per game2.11.5
Conceded per game2.01.7
Home record6W 2D 2L3W 5D 3L
Away record3W 1D 6L1W 6D 2L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%-367
Over 2.5 goals54%-120
Over 3.5 goals32%+211
Both teams to score58%-138
Orlando City SC or Draw70%-237
D.C. United or Draw56%-126
Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.529%+250
D.C. United to win and Over 2.519%+440
Orlando City SC clean sheet28%+255
D.C. United clean sheet20%+392

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
2-19.2%
1-08.4%
1-27.3%
2-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando City SC vs D.C. United?

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs D.C. United is Orlando City SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -327.

What is the score prediction for Orlando City SC vs D.C. United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Orlando City SC to score 1.6 goals and D.C. United 1.3.

Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs D.C. United?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Orlando City SC last 20 games and 14 of D.C. United last 20.

How are Orlando City SC playing?

Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are D.C. United playing?

D.C. United have 4 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Orlando City SC and D.C. United last met?

It ended D.C. United 3, Orlando City SC 2. In the last 2 meetings Orlando City SC won 0 and D.C. United won 1.

What is the best bet for Orlando City SC vs D.C. United?

Over 1.5 goals at -327, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Orlando against D.C. United. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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