Quick answer
Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati is Orlando City SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613.
- Prediction
- Orlando City SC to win
- Chance
- 44%
- Most likely score
- 1-1
- Expected goals
- Orlando City SC 1.9, FC Cincinnati 1.6
- Best bet
- Over 1.5 goals at -613
- Both teams to score
- 67%
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price -6132 units
⚡ Eagle bold pick
Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price +2051 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Orlando City SC 44%, the draw 23% and FC Cincinnati 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Orlando City SC the favourite at +135.
- 2
Recent formOrlando City SC took 8 points from their last 5 games and FC Cincinnati took 10 from 5. FC Cincinnati come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayOrlando City SC won 7 of their last 10 games at home. FC Cincinnati won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
- 4
GoalsOrlando City SC score 2.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. FC Cincinnati score 1.9 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Orlando City SC games and 14 of FC Cincinnati games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 3 meetings, Orlando City SC won 0 and FC Cincinnati won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended Orlando City SC 1, FC Cincinnati 1.
- 6
The safest betOver 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Orlandorecent form+1%
- Cincinnatirecent form+3%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewOrlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Orlando City SC host FC Cincinnati in the MLS on Thu 19 Nov, 19:30 at Inter&Co Stadium. Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati is Orlando City SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613.
Orlando City SC form
Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.
FC Cincinnati form
FC Cincinnati have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 3 times in our records. Orlando City SC won 0, FC Cincinnati won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Orlando City SC 1, FC Cincinnati 1.
Our call
We expect Orlando City SC to score about 1.9 goals and FC Cincinnati about 1.6. That points to Orlando City SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613. Our bold bet is Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5 at +205.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Goals and other markets
Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.
Most likely scores
1-110.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.4%
2-26.9%
2-05.6%
Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.
Questions people ask
Who will win Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati is Orlando City SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -613.
What is the score prediction for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Orlando City SC to score 1.9 goals and FC Cincinnati 1.6.
Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Orlando City SC last 20 games and 14 of FC Cincinnati last 20.
How are Orlando City SC playing?
Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.
How are FC Cincinnati playing?
FC Cincinnati have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.
What happened when Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati last met?
It ended Orlando City SC 1, FC Cincinnati 1. In the last 3 meetings Orlando City SC won 0 and FC Cincinnati won 1.
What is the best bet for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Over 1.5 goals at -613, with a 86% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Orlando against Cincinnati. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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