Predictions › United States › Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution

MLSSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution prediction

Inter&Co Stadium

Orlando City SCHome

1.84 : 1.44

expected goals

New England RevolutionAway

46%Orlando

24%Draw

30%New England

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-549

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution is Orlando City SC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -549.

Prediction: Orlando City SC to win
Chance: 46%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Orlando City SC 1.8, New England Revolution 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -549
Both teams to score: 65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

85% chanceFair price -5492 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price +2051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Orlando City SC 46%, the draw 24% and New England Revolution 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Orlando City SC took 8 points from their last 5 games and New England Revolution took 9 from 5. New England Revolution come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Orlando City SC won 7 of their last 11 games at home. New England Revolution won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Orlando City SC score 2.2 goals a game and let in 2.0. New England Revolution score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Orlando City SC games and 15 of New England Revolution games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Orlando City SC won 0 and New England Revolution won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended New England Revolution 4, Orlando City SC 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Orlandorecent form+1%

Orlando form D W D W LNew England form D W W L LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution: Orlando City SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Orlando City SC host New England Revolution in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at Inter&Co Stadium. Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution is Orlando City SC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -549.

Orlando City SC form

Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

New England Revolution form

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Orlando City SC won 0, New England Revolution won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished New England Revolution 4, Orlando City SC 2.

Our call

We expect Orlando City SC to score about 1.8 goals and New England Revolution about 1.4. That points to Orlando City SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -549. Our bold bet is Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5 at +205.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Orlando	New England
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	10
Draws	5	3
Losses	6	7
Goals scored	44	31
Goals conceded	40	29
Scored per game	2.2	1.6
Conceded per game	2.0	1.4
Home record	7W 3D 1L	4W 2D 3L
Away record	2W 2D 5L	6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	15%
Both teams scored	75%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	-541
Over 2.5 goals	64%	-174
Over 3.5 goals	41%	+142
Both teams to score	65%	-183
Orlando City SC or Draw	70%	-237
New England Revolution or Draw	54%	-115
Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.5	34%	+197
New England Revolution to win and Over 2.5	21%	+378
Orlando City SC clean sheet	24%	+321
New England Revolution clean sheet	16%	+527

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%

2-19.2%

1-27.2%

2-26.6%

2-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution?

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution is Orlando City SC to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -549.

What is the score prediction for Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Orlando City SC to score 1.8 goals and New England Revolution 1.4.

Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Orlando City SC last 20 games and 12 of New England Revolution last 20.

How are Orlando City SC playing?

How are New England Revolution playing?

What happened when Orlando City SC and New England Revolution last met?

It ended New England Revolution 4, Orlando City SC 2. In the last 1 meeting Orlando City SC won 0 and New England Revolution won 1.

What is the best bet for Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution?

Over 1.5 goals at -549, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Orlando against New England. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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