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Predictions › United States › Orlando City SC vs New York City FC
MLSSat 24 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC prediction

Inter&Co Stadium

Orlando City SCHome
1.38 : 1.08
expected goals
New York City FCAway
43%Orlando
28%Draw
29%NYCFC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
-315

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC is Orlando City SC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -315.

Prediction
Orlando City SC to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Orlando City SC 1.4, New York City FC 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at -315
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price -3152 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price +6401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Orlando City SC 43%, the draw 28% and New York City FC 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Orlando City SC took 7 points from their last 5 games and New York City FC took 4 from 5. Orlando City SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Orlando City SC won 6 of their last 9 games at home. New York City FC won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Orlando City SC score 2.2 goals a game and let in 2.1. New York City FC score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Orlando City SC games and 9 of New York City FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Orlando City SC won 0 and New York City FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended New York City FC 5, Orlando City SC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Orlandorecent form-3%
  • NYCFCrecent form-1%
  • Orlandorest between games-5%
  • NYCFCrest between games-5%
Orlando form D W L L LNYCFC form D L D L WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC: Orlando City SC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Orlando City SC host New York City FC in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at Inter&Co Stadium. Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC is Orlando City SC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -315.

Orlando City SC form

Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 43 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

New York City FC form

New York City FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Orlando City SC won 0, New York City FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished New York City FC 5, Orlando City SC 0.

Our call

We expect Orlando City SC to score about 1.4 goals and New York City FC about 1.1. That points to Orlando City SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at -315. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +640.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OrlandoNYCFC
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws46
Losses79
Goals scored4423
Goals conceded4325
Scored per game2.21.1
Conceded per game2.11.3
Home record6W 2D 1L2W 2D 4L
Away record3W 2D 6L3W 4D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals75%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%-245
Over 2.5 goals44%+125
Over 3.5 goals23%+331
Both teams to score50%-100
Orlando City SC or Draw71%-250
New York City FC or Draw57%-133
Orlando City SC to win and Over 2.524%+322
New York City FC to win and Over 2.515%+562
Orlando City SC clean sheet34%+193
New York City FC clean sheet25%+296

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-011.1%
0-09.4%
2-18.8%
0-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Inter Miami Clinch Playoff Berth With 2-0 Win Over NYCFC

Inter Miami secured a 2026 MLS playoff berth on Wednesday with a 2-0 victory against New York City FC.

2 hours ago

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC is Orlando City SC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -315.

What is the score prediction for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Orlando City SC to score 1.4 goals and New York City FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Orlando City SC last 20 games and 12 of New York City FC last 20.

How are Orlando City SC playing?

Orlando City SC have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 43 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are New York City FC playing?

New York City FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Orlando City SC and New York City FC last met?

It ended New York City FC 5, Orlando City SC 0. In the last 1 meeting Orlando City SC won 0 and New York City FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

Under 3.5 goals at -315, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Orlando against NYCFC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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