Predictions › United States › Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers
NBASun 11 Oct, 18:30 United States time

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction

Rocket Arena

Orlando MagicAway
113.8 : 116.2
projected points
Cleveland CavaliersHome
45%Magic
55%Cavaliers
Eagle safe pickMagic +10.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Orlando Magic 113.8 and Cleveland Cavaliers 116.2. Our best bet is Magic +10.5 at -301.

Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Orlando Magic 114, Cleveland Cavaliers 116
Projected total
230.0 points
Best bet
Magic +10.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Magic +10.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Magic to win
40% chanceFair price +1531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Cavaliers 55% and Orlando Magic 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 of their last 5 and Orlando Magic won 2 of their last 5. Orlando Magic come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Orlando Magic won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Cavaliers score 108.8 points a game and let in 112.0. Orlando Magic score 109.8 and let in 111.3. Their recent games average 220.7 and 221.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Cleveland Cavaliers won 3 and Orlando Magic won 1. The last one ended Cleveland Cavaliers 136, Orlando Magic 131.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Magic +10.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cavaliersrest between games-3%
  • Magicrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Cleveland Cavaliers shade it

The big picture

Cleveland Cavaliers host Orlando Magic in the NBA on Sun 11 Oct, 18:30 at Rocket Arena. Our prediction for Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Orlando Magic 113.8 and Cleveland Cavaliers 116.2. Our best bet is Magic +10.5 at -301.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2175 points scored and 2239 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Orlando Magic form

Orlando Magic have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2227 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Cleveland Cavaliers won 3, Orlando Magic won 1. Last time out it finished Cleveland Cavaliers 136, Orlando Magic 131.

Our call

We expect Orlando Magic to score about 113.8 points and Cleveland Cavaliers about 116.2. That points to Cleveland Cavaliers to win. Our safest bet is Magic +10.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Magic to win at +153.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CavaliersMagic
Games played2020
Wins911
Losses119
Points scored21752197
Points conceded22392227
Scored per game108.8109.8
Conceded per game112.0111.3
Home record7W 3L7W 2L
Away record2W 8L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Cavaliers spreadCoversFair
Cavaliers -8.531%+220
Cavaliers -5.540%+149
Cavaliers -2.550%+101
Cavaliers +0.559%-145
Cavaliers +3.568%-214
Total pointsOverUnder
223.564%36%
226.558%42%
229.551%49%
232.544%56%
235.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cavaliers +3.5 wins if Cavaliers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Our prediction for Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Orlando Magic 113.8 and Cleveland Cavaliers 116.2. Our best bet is Magic +10.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

We project Orlando Magic 113.8 and Cleveland Cavaliers 116.2, about 230.0 points in total.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2175 points scored and 2239 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Orlando Magic playing?

Orlando Magic have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2227 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Cavaliers and Orlando Magic last met?

It ended Cleveland Cavaliers 136, Orlando Magic 131. In the last 4 meetings Cleveland Cavaliers won 3 and Orlando Magic won 1.

What is the best bet for Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Magic +10.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cavaliers against Magic. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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