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Predictions › United States › Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies
NBAWed 7 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

FedExForum

Orlando MagicAway
119.0 : 114.5
projected points
Memphis GrizzliesHome
67%Magic
33%Grizzlies
Eagle safe pickGrizzlies +12.5
-297

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies is Orlando Magic to win, with a 67% chance. We project Orlando Magic 119.0 and Memphis Grizzlies 114.5. Our best bet is Grizzlies +12.5 at -297.

Prediction
Orlando Magic to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Orlando Magic 119, Memphis Grizzlies 115
Projected total
233.5 points
Best bet
Grizzlies +12.5 at -297

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Grizzlies +12.5
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Grizzlies to win
33% chanceFair price +2001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Grizzlies 33% and Orlando Magic 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Grizzlies won 0 of their last 5 and Orlando Magic won 2 of their last 5. Orlando Magic come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Orlando Magic won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Grizzlies score 111.6 points a game and let in 129.6. Orlando Magic score 109.8 and let in 111.3. Their recent games average 241.2 and 221.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Memphis Grizzlies won 1 and Orlando Magic won 1. The last one ended Memphis Grizzlies 126, Orlando Magic 109.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Grizzlies +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grizzliesrest between games-3%
  • Magicrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies: Orlando Magic are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Memphis Grizzlies host Orlando Magic in the NBA on Wed 7 Oct, 20:00 at FedExForum. Our prediction for Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies is Orlando Magic to win, with a 67% chance. We project Orlando Magic 119.0 and Memphis Grizzlies 114.5. Our best bet is Grizzlies +12.5 at -297.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 2 wins and 18 losses in their last 20 games, with 2232 points scored and 2591 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Orlando Magic form

Orlando Magic have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2227 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Memphis Grizzlies won 1, Orlando Magic won 1. Last time out it finished Memphis Grizzlies 126, Orlando Magic 109.

Our call

We expect Orlando Magic to score about 119.0 points and Memphis Grizzlies about 114.5. That points to Orlando Magic to win. Our safest bet is Grizzlies +12.5 at -297. Our bold bet is Grizzlies to win at +200.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrizzliesMagic
Games played2020
Wins211
Losses189
Points scored22322197
Points conceded25912227
Scored per game111.6109.8
Conceded per game129.6111.3
Home record2W 8L7W 2L
Away record0W 10L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Grizzlies spreadCoversFair
Grizzlies -1.532%+216
Grizzlies +1.541%+146
Grizzlies +4.550%-100
Grizzlies +7.560%-147
Grizzlies +10.568%-217
Total pointsOverUnder
227.563%37%
230.557%43%
233.550%50%
236.543%57%
239.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Grizzlies +3.5 wins if Grizzlies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Our prediction for Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies is Orlando Magic to win, with a 67% chance. We project Orlando Magic 119.0 and Memphis Grizzlies 114.5. Our best bet is Grizzlies +12.5 at -297.

What is the projected score for Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies?

We project Orlando Magic 119.0 and Memphis Grizzlies 114.5, about 233.5 points in total.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 2 wins and 18 losses in their last 20 games, with 2232 points scored and 2591 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Orlando Magic playing?

Orlando Magic have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2227 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Grizzlies and Orlando Magic last met?

It ended Memphis Grizzlies 126, Orlando Magic 109. In the last 2 meetings Memphis Grizzlies won 1 and Orlando Magic won 1.

What is the best bet for Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Grizzlies +12.5 at -297, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grizzlies against Magic. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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