Predictions › South Africa › Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs
South African PremiershipSat 31 Oct, 15:30 South Africa time

Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs prediction

FNB Stadium

Orlando PiratesHome
1.38 : 0.54
expected goals
Kaizer ChiefsAway
57%O Pirates
29%Draw
14%Kaizer Chiefs
Eagle safe pickOrlando Pirates or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Orlando Pirates or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
Orlando Pirates to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Orlando Pirates 1.4, Kaizer Chiefs 0.5
Best bet
Orlando Pirates or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
32%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Orlando Pirates or Draw
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
20% chanceFair price 5.111 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Orlando Pirates 57%, the draw 29% and Kaizer Chiefs 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Orlando Pirates took 15 points from their last 5 games and Kaizer Chiefs took 7 from 5. Orlando Pirates come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Orlando Pirates won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Kaizer Chiefs won 5 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Orlando Pirates score 2.4 goals a game and let in 0.3. Kaizer Chiefs score 1.5 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Orlando Pirates games and 5 of Kaizer Chiefs games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Orlando Pirates won 1 and Kaizer Chiefs won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Orlando Pirates 1, Kaizer Chiefs 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Orlando Pirates or Draw has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • O Piratesrecent form+6%
  • Kaizer Chiefsrecent form+1%
O Pirates form D W W W WKaizer Chiefs form D D D D WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs: Orlando Pirates are favourites

The big picture

Orlando Pirates host Kaizer Chiefs in the South African Premiership on Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 at FNB Stadium. Our prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Orlando Pirates or Draw at 1.17.

Orlando Pirates form

Orlando Pirates have 15 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Kaizer Chiefs form

Kaizer Chiefs have 10 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Orlando Pirates won 1, Kaizer Chiefs won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Orlando Pirates 1, Kaizer Chiefs 1.

Our call

We expect Orlando Pirates to score about 1.4 goals and Kaizer Chiefs about 0.5. That points to Orlando Pirates to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Orlando Pirates or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.11.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

O PiratesKaizer Chiefs
Games played2020
Wins1510
Draws58
Losses02
Goals scored4830
Goals conceded615
Scored per game2.41.5
Conceded per game0.30.8
Home record7W 3D 0L5W 2D 1L
Away record8W 2D 0L5W 6D 1L
Clean sheets75%40%
Both teams scored25%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals58%1.73
Over 2.5 goals30%3.31
Over 3.5 goals13%7.75
Both teams to score32%3.13
Orlando Pirates or Draw86%1.16
Kaizer Chiefs or Draw43%2.33
Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.524%4.24
Kaizer Chiefs to win and Over 2.54%22.47
Orlando Pirates clean sheet58%1.72
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet25%3.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-019.6%
0-015.3%
2-014.0%
1-111.6%
2-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Our prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Orlando Pirates or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 2-0. We expect Orlando Pirates to score 1.4 goals and Kaizer Chiefs 0.5.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Both teams to score has a 32% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Orlando Pirates last 20 games and 10 of Kaizer Chiefs last 20.

How are Orlando Pirates playing?

Orlando Pirates have 15 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Kaizer Chiefs playing?

Kaizer Chiefs have 10 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs last met?

It ended Orlando Pirates 1, Kaizer Chiefs 1. In the last 2 meetings Orlando Pirates won 1 and Kaizer Chiefs won 0.

What is the best bet for Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Orlando Pirates or Draw at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in O Pirates against Kaizer Chiefs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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