Predictions › South Africa › Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC
South African PremiershipTue 13 Oct, 19:30 South Africa time

Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC prediction

Orlando Stadium

Orlando PiratesHome
1.90 : 0.44
expected goals
TS Galaxy FCAway
72%O Pirates
21%Draw
7%TS Galaxy
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Orlando Pirates to win
Chance
72%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Orlando Pirates 1.9, TS Galaxy FC 0.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
31%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Orlando Pirates 72%, the draw 21% and TS Galaxy FC 7%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Orlando Pirates took 15 points from their last 5 games and TS Galaxy FC took 5 from 5. Orlando Pirates come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Orlando Pirates won 6 of their last 9 games at home. TS Galaxy FC won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Orlando Pirates score 2.4 goals a game and let in 0.3. TS Galaxy FC score 0.8 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Orlando Pirates games and 7 of TS Galaxy FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Orlando Pirates won 2 and TS Galaxy FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended TS Galaxy FC 0, Orlando Pirates 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • O Piratesrecent form+6%
  • TS Galaxyrecent form-1%
O Pirates form W W W D WTS Galaxy form L L D W DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC: Orlando Pirates are favourites

The big picture

Orlando Pirates host TS Galaxy FC in the South African Premiership on Tue 13 Oct, 19:30 at Orlando Stadium. Our prediction for Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Orlando Pirates form

Orlando Pirates have 15 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

TS Galaxy FC form

TS Galaxy FC have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Orlando Pirates won 2, TS Galaxy FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished TS Galaxy FC 0, Orlando Pirates 6.

Our call

We expect Orlando Pirates to score about 1.9 goals and TS Galaxy FC about 0.4. That points to Orlando Pirates to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.5 at 2.84.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

O PiratesTS Galaxy
Games played2020
Wins152
Draws58
Losses010
Goals scored4815
Goals conceded630
Scored per game2.40.8
Conceded per game0.31.5
Home record6W 3D 0L1W 3D 7L
Away record9W 2D 0L1W 5D 3L
Clean sheets75%20%
Both teams scored25%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.42
Over 3.5 goals21%4.81
Both teams to score31%3.25
Orlando Pirates or Draw93%1.08
TS Galaxy FC or Draw28%3.60
Orlando Pirates to win and Over 2.537%2.71
TS Galaxy FC to win and Over 2.53%39.72
Orlando Pirates clean sheet64%1.55
TS Galaxy FC clean sheet15%6.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-017.9%
2-017.4%
3-011.0%
0-010.2%
1-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC?

Our prediction for Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC is Orlando Pirates to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-0. We expect Orlando Pirates to score 1.9 goals and TS Galaxy FC 0.4.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC?

Both teams to score has a 31% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Orlando Pirates last 20 games and 9 of TS Galaxy FC last 20.

How are Orlando Pirates playing?

Orlando Pirates have 15 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are TS Galaxy FC playing?

TS Galaxy FC have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Orlando Pirates and TS Galaxy FC last met?

It ended TS Galaxy FC 0, Orlando Pirates 6. In the last 2 meetings Orlando Pirates won 2 and TS Galaxy FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in O Pirates against TS Galaxy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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