Predictions › Spain › Osasuna vs Racing Santander

LaLigaSun 18 Oct, 12:00 Spain time

Osasuna vs Racing Santander prediction

El Sadar

OsasunaHome

1.78 : 1.12

expected goals

Racing SantanderAway

52%Osasuna

25%Draw

23%Racing

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Osasuna vs Racing Santander is Osasuna to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Osasuna to win
Chance: 52%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Osasuna 1.8, Racing Santander 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Osasuna to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 3.031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Osasuna 52%, the draw 25% and Racing Santander 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Osasuna the favourite at 1.87.
2
Recent form
Osasuna took 4 points from their last 5 games and Racing Santander took 6 from 5. Racing Santander come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Osasuna won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Racing Santander won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Osasuna score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.7. Racing Santander score 2.0 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Osasuna games and 16 of Racing Santander games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Osasunarecent form-3%
Racingrecent form-1%

Osasuna form D L L L WRacing form L L W L WHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Osasuna vs Racing Santander: Osasuna are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Osasuna host Racing Santander in the LaLiga on Sun 18 Oct, 12:00 at El Sadar. Our prediction for Osasuna vs Racing Santander is Osasuna to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Osasuna form

Osasuna have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Racing Santander form

Racing Santander have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Osasuna to score about 1.8 goals and Racing Santander about 1.1. That points to Osasuna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Osasuna to win and Over 2.5 at 3.03.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Osasuna	Racing
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	10
Draws	5	3
Losses	11	7
Goals scored	20	41
Goals conceded	34	43
Scored per game	1.0	2.0
Conceded per game	1.7	2.1
Home record	3W 4D 4L	7W 1D 1L
Away record	1W 1D 7L	3W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	15%	5%
Both teams scored	60%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Osasuna to win	49%	2.05	1.87	-9.0%
A Draw	24%	4.13	3.50	-15.2%
Racing Santander to win	23%	4.40	4.00	-9.2%
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.96	1.71	-12.6%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.37	2.05	-13.4%
Osasuna -0.5	48%	2.09	1.77	-15.4%
Racing Santander +0.5	45%	2.20	1.83	-16.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.81
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.05
Both teams to score	56%	1.77
Osasuna or Draw	77%	1.30
Racing Santander or Draw	48%	2.09
Osasuna to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.92
Racing Santander to win and Over 2.5	14%	7.06
Osasuna clean sheet	33%	3.05
Racing Santander clean sheet	17%	5.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%

2-19.8%

1-09.2%

2-08.8%

0-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

LaLiga

Barcelona Smash Records in Seven Goal Demolition

Barcelona set a club record with seven straight wins to start the season after beating Racing Santander 7-2, led by a Raphinha hat trick.

16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

Our prediction for Osasuna vs Racing Santander is Osasuna to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Osasuna to score 1.8 goals and Racing Santander 1.1.

Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Osasuna last 20 games and 15 of Racing Santander last 20.

How are Osasuna playing?

How are Racing Santander playing?

What is the best bet for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Osasuna against Racing. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.