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Predictions › United States › Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins
NHLMon 5 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins prediction

TD Garden

Ottawa SenatorsAway
2.6 : 3.5
projected goals
Boston BruinsHome
32%Senators
68%Bruins
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-395

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 68% chance. We project Ottawa Senators 2.6 and Boston Bruins 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -395.

Prediction
Boston Bruins to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Ottawa Senators 3, Boston Bruins 4
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -395

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
80% chanceFair price -3952 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Senators to win
31% chanceFair price +2211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Bruins 68% and Ottawa Senators 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Bruins won 2 of their last 5 and Ottawa Senators won 1 of their last 5. Boston Bruins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Bruins won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Ottawa Senators won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Bruins score 2.7 goals a game and let in 2.7. Ottawa Senators score 2.8 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 5.4 and 5.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Boston Bruins won 1 and Ottawa Senators won 3. The last one ended Boston Bruins 2, Ottawa Senators 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bruinsrest between games-2%
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boston Bruins host Ottawa Senators in the NHL on Mon 5 Oct, 19:30 at TD Garden. Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 68% chance. We project Ottawa Senators 2.6 and Boston Bruins 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -395.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Boston Bruins won 1, Ottawa Senators won 3. Last time out it finished Boston Bruins 2, Ottawa Senators 6.

Our call

We expect Ottawa Senators to score about 2.6 goals and Boston Bruins about 3.5. That points to Boston Bruins to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -395. Our bold bet is Senators to win at +221.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BruinsSenators
Games played2020
Wins97
Losses1113
Goals scored5455
Goals conceded5461
Scored per game2.72.8
Conceded per game2.73.0
Home record5W 4L6W 5L
Away record4W 7L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bruins spreadCoversFair
Bruins -1.540%+148
Bruins -0.557%-131
Bruins +0.572%-259
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bruins +3.5 wins if Bruins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins?

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 68% chance. We project Ottawa Senators 2.6 and Boston Bruins 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -395.

What is the projected score for Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins?

We project Ottawa Senators 2.6 and Boston Bruins 3.5, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Boston Bruins and Ottawa Senators last met?

It ended Boston Bruins 2, Ottawa Senators 6. In the last 4 meetings Boston Bruins won 1 and Ottawa Senators won 3.

What is the best bet for Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins?

Under 8 goals at -395, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bruins against Senators. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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