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Predictions › United States › Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings
NHLTue 6 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings prediction

Little Caesars Arena

Ottawa SenatorsAway
3.2 : 3.3
projected goals
Detroit Red WingsHome
52%Senators
48%Red Wings
Eagle safe pickSenators +2
-403

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Senators +2 at -403.

Prediction
Ottawa Senators to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 3
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Senators +2 at -403

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Senators +2
80% chanceFair price -4032 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Red Wings 48% and Ottawa Senators 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Red Wings won 2 of their last 5 and Ottawa Senators won 1 of their last 5. Detroit Red Wings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Red Wings won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Ottawa Senators won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Red Wings score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.5. Ottawa Senators score 2.8 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.5 and 5.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Detroit Red Wings won 3 and Ottawa Senators won 1. The last one ended Detroit Red Wings 2, Ottawa Senators 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Senators +2 has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Wingsrest between games-5%
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings: Ottawa Senators shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Red Wings host Ottawa Senators in the NHL on Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Senators +2 at -403.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Detroit Red Wings won 3, Ottawa Senators won 1. Last time out it finished Detroit Red Wings 2, Ottawa Senators 3.

Our call

We expect Ottawa Senators to score about 3.2 goals and Detroit Red Wings about 3.3. That points to Ottawa Senators to win. Our safest bet is Senators +2 at -403.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red WingsSenators
Games played2020
Wins77
Losses1313
Goals scored6055
Goals conceded7161
Scored per game3.02.8
Conceded per game3.53.0
Home record4W 7L6W 5L
Away record3W 6L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Red Wings spreadCoversFair
Red Wings -1.527%+268
Red Wings -0.542%+136
Red Wings +0.559%-143
Total goalsOverUnder
5.567%33%
6.550%50%
7.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Wings +3.5 wins if Red Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings?

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Senators +2 at -403.

What is the projected score for Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings?

We project Ottawa Senators 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Red Wings and Ottawa Senators last met?

It ended Detroit Red Wings 2, Ottawa Senators 3. In the last 4 meetings Detroit Red Wings won 3 and Ottawa Senators won 1.

What is the best bet for Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings?

Senators +2 at -403, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Wings against Senators. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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