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Predictions › United States › Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins
NHLSat 14 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction

PPG Paints Arena

Ottawa SenatorsAway
3.3 : 3.6
projected goals
Pittsburgh PenguinsHome
49%Senators
51%Penguins
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-461

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.3 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -461.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Ottawa Senators 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Projected total
6.8 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -461

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
82% chanceFair price -4612 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Senators to win
42% chanceFair price +1371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pittsburgh Penguins 51% and Ottawa Senators 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5 and Ottawa Senators won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Ottawa Senators won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.3. Ottawa Senators score 3.0 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Ottawa Senators won 2. The last one ended Ottawa Senators 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pittsburgh Penguins host Ottawa Senators in the NHL on Sat 14 Nov, 19:00 at PPG Paints Arena. Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.3 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -461.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, Ottawa Senators won 2. Last time out it finished Ottawa Senators 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.

Our call

We expect Ottawa Senators to score about 3.3 goals and Pittsburgh Penguins about 3.6. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -461. Our bold bet is Senators to win at +137.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PenguinsSenators
Games played2020
Wins710
Losses1310
Goals scored6061
Goals conceded6668
Scored per game3.03.0
Conceded per game3.33.4
Home record5W 4L6W 3L
Away record2W 9L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Penguins spreadCoversFair
Penguins -1.531%+225
Penguins -0.547%+115
Penguins +0.563%-170
Total goalsOverUnder
5.572%28%
6.556%44%
7.539%61%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penguins +3.5 wins if Penguins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Ottawa Forward Hayden Hodgson Handed Two Game Suspension

Ottawa Senators forward Hayden Hodgson has received a two game ban for boarding Los Angeles Kings defenseman Brandt Clarke.

31 Oct 2026
NHL

Logan Cooley Hits Late Hat Trick as Mammoth Beat Penguins in Overtime

Logan Cooley scored late to force overtime before Mikhail Sergachev gave Utah a 4-3 victory over Pittsburgh.

30 Oct 2026
NHL

Hayden Hodgson Ejected as Kings Edge Senators 6-5

Hayden Hodgson was ejected for boarding Brandt Clarke, and the Kings survived an Ottawa comeback to win 6-5.

30 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Our prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ottawa Senators 3.3 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -461.

What is the projected score for Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

We project Ottawa Senators 3.3 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6, about 6.8 goals in total.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Pittsburgh Penguins and Ottawa Senators last met?

It ended Ottawa Senators 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4. In the last 3 meetings Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Ottawa Senators won 2.

What is the best bet for Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Over 5 goals at -461, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Penguins against Senators. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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