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Predictions › United Kingdom › Oxford United vs Bradford City
League OneSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Oxford United vs Bradford City prediction

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford UnitedHome
1.35 : 1.02
expected goals
Bradford CityAway
44%Oxford Utd
29%Draw
28%Bradford
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oxford United vs Bradford City is Oxford United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Oxford United to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Oxford United 1.4, Bradford City 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oxford United 44%, the draw 29% and Bradford City 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oxford United took 10 points from their last 5 games and Bradford City took 11 from 5. Bradford City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oxford United won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Bradford City won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Oxford United score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Bradford City score 1.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Oxford United games and 5 of Bradford City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oxford Utdrecent form+1%
  • Bradfordrecent form+4%
Oxford Utd form D L D W WBradford form D W D W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oxford United vs Bradford City: Oxford United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oxford United host Bradford City in the League One on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at The Kassam Stadium. Our prediction for Oxford United vs Bradford City is Oxford United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Oxford United form

Oxford United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Bradford City form

Bradford City have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oxford United to score about 1.4 goals and Bradford City about 1.0. That points to Oxford United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Oxford UtdBradford
Games played2020
Wins99
Draws56
Losses65
Goals scored3121
Goals conceded2315
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.10.8
Home record5W 4D 1L3W 4D 3L
Away record4W 1D 5L6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets20%40%
Both teams scored55%40%
Over 2.5 goals50%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%4/9
Over 2.5 goals42%11/8
Over 3.5 goals22%7/2
Both teams to score48%21/20
Oxford United or Draw72%4/11
Bradford City or Draw56%4/5
Oxford United to win and Over 2.523%10/3
Bradford City to win and Over 2.514%6/1
Oxford United clean sheet36%9/5
Bradford City clean sheet26%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-011.8%
0-010.0%
0-18.7%
2-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Oxford United vs Bradford City?

Our prediction for Oxford United vs Bradford City is Oxford United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Oxford United vs Bradford City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Oxford United to score 1.4 goals and Bradford City 1.0.

Will both teams score in Oxford United vs Bradford City?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Oxford United last 20 games and 8 of Bradford City last 20.

How are Oxford United playing?

Oxford United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Bradford City playing?

Bradford City have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oxford United vs Bradford City?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oxford Utd against Bradford. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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