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Predictions › United Kingdom › Oxford United vs Stockport County
League OneTue 27 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Oxford United vs Stockport County prediction

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford UnitedHome
1.42 : 1.26
expected goals
Stockport CountyAway
40%Oxford Utd
27%Draw
33%Stockport
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oxford United vs Stockport County is Oxford United to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Oxford United to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Oxford United 1.4, Stockport County 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oxford United 40%, the draw 27% and Stockport County 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oxford United took 11 points from their last 5 games and Stockport County took 10 from 5. Oxford United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oxford United won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Stockport County won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Oxford United score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Stockport County score 1.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Oxford United games and 11 of Stockport County games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oxford Utdrecent form+1%
  • Stockportrecent form+4%
  • Oxford Utdrest between games-2%
  • Stockportrest between games-5%
Oxford Utd form D W L D WStockport form D W W W DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oxford United vs Stockport County: Oxford United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oxford United host Stockport County in the League One on Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 at The Kassam Stadium. Our prediction for Oxford United vs Stockport County is Oxford United to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Oxford United form

Oxford United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Stockport County form

Stockport County have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oxford United to score about 1.4 goals and Stockport County about 1.3. That points to Oxford United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Oxford UtdStockport
Games played2020
Wins811
Draws63
Losses66
Goals scored3038
Goals conceded2324
Scored per game1.51.9
Conceded per game1.11.2
Home record4W 4D 1L6W 1D 4L
Away record4W 2D 5L5W 2D 2L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1/3
Over 2.5 goals50%Evens
Over 3.5 goals28%5/2
Both teams to score55%4/5
Oxford United or Draw67%1/2
Stockport County or Draw60%4/6
Oxford United to win and Over 2.524%3/1
Stockport County to win and Over 2.519%4/1
Oxford United clean sheet28%5/2
Stockport County clean sheet24%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-09.0%
2-18.7%
0-17.9%
1-27.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Oxford United vs Stockport County?

Our prediction for Oxford United vs Stockport County is Oxford United to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Oxford United vs Stockport County?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Oxford United to score 1.4 goals and Stockport County 1.3.

Will both teams score in Oxford United vs Stockport County?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Oxford United last 20 games and 11 of Stockport County last 20.

How are Oxford United playing?

Oxford United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Stockport County playing?

Stockport County have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oxford United vs Stockport County?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oxford Utd against Stockport. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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