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Predictions › United Kingdom › Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic
League OneTue 20 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic prediction

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford UnitedHome
1.66 : 0.85
expected goals
Wigan AthleticAway
56%Oxford Utd
26%Draw
18%Wigan
Eagle safe pickOxford United or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic is Oxford United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Oxford United or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Oxford United to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Oxford United 1.7, Wigan Athletic 0.8
Best bet
Oxford United or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oxford United or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Oxford United to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 12/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oxford United 56%, the draw 26% and Wigan Athletic 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oxford United took 10 points from their last 5 games and Wigan Athletic took 4 from 5. Oxford United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oxford United won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Wigan Athletic won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Oxford United score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Wigan Athletic score 0.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Oxford United games and 7 of Wigan Athletic games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Oxford United or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oxford Utdrecent form+1%
  • Wiganrecent form-1%
  • Oxford Utdrest between games-5%
  • Wiganrest between games-5%
Oxford Utd form D L D W WWigan form D W L D LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic: Oxford United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oxford United host Wigan Athletic in the League One on Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 at The Kassam Stadium. Our prediction for Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic is Oxford United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Oxford United or Draw at 1/4.

Oxford United form

Oxford United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Wigan Athletic form

Wigan Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oxford United to score about 1.7 goals and Wigan Athletic about 0.8. That points to Oxford United to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Oxford United or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Oxford United to win and Over 2.5 at 12/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Oxford UtdWigan
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws55
Losses69
Goals scored3119
Goals conceded2322
Scored per game1.60.9
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record5W 4D 1L5W 1D 4L
Away record4W 1D 5L1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored55%30%
Over 2.5 goals50%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%2/5
Over 2.5 goals46%6/5
Over 3.5 goals24%3/1
Both teams to score47%11/10
Oxford United or Draw82%2/9
Wigan Athletic or Draw44%5/4
Oxford United to win and Over 2.532%85/40
Wigan Athletic to win and Over 2.59%10/1
Oxford United clean sheet43%11/8
Wigan Athletic clean sheet19%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.8%
1-112.2%
2-011.2%
2-19.5%
0-08.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic?

Our prediction for Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic is Oxford United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Oxford United or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Oxford United to score 1.7 goals and Wigan Athletic 0.8.

Will both teams score in Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Oxford United last 20 games and 6 of Wigan Athletic last 20.

How are Oxford United playing?

Oxford United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Wigan Athletic playing?

Wigan Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic?

Oxford United or Draw at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oxford Utd against Wigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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