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Predictions › United Kingdom › Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers
League OneSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers prediction

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford UnitedHome
1.66 : 0.88
expected goals
Wycombe WanderersAway
55%Oxford Utd
26%Draw
19%Wycombe
Eagle safe pickOxford United or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers is Oxford United to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Oxford United or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Oxford United to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Oxford United 1.7, Wycombe Wanderers 0.9
Best bet
Oxford United or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oxford United or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Oxford United to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 11/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oxford United 55%, the draw 26% and Wycombe Wanderers 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oxford United took 8 points from their last 5 games and Wycombe Wanderers took 11 from 5. Wycombe Wanderers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oxford United won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Wycombe Wanderers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Oxford United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Wycombe Wanderers score 1.7 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Oxford United games and 12 of Wycombe Wanderers games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Oxford United or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oxford Utdrecent form+1%
  • Wycomberecent form+4%
Oxford Utd form D L W D WWycombe form W W D D WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers: Oxford United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oxford United host Wycombe Wanderers in the League One on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at The Kassam Stadium. Our prediction for Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers is Oxford United to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Oxford United or Draw at 1/4.

Oxford United form

Oxford United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Wycombe Wanderers form

Wycombe Wanderers have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Oxford United to score about 1.7 goals and Wycombe Wanderers about 0.9. That points to Oxford United to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Oxford United or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Oxford United to win and Over 2.5 at 11/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Oxford UtdWycombe
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws57
Losses67
Goals scored2834
Goals conceded1937
Scored per game1.41.7
Conceded per game0.91.9
Home record6W 3D 2L3W 3D 5L
Away record3W 2D 4L3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored45%75%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals47%11/10
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score48%11/10
Oxford United or Draw81%1/4
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw45%6/5
Oxford United to win and Over 2.532%85/40
Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.510%9/1
Oxford United clean sheet41%7/5
Wycombe Wanderers clean sheet19%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.4%
1-112.2%
2-010.8%
2-19.6%
0-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Our prediction for Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers is Oxford United to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Oxford United or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Oxford United to score 1.7 goals and Wycombe Wanderers 0.9.

Will both teams score in Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Oxford United last 20 games and 15 of Wycombe Wanderers last 20.

How are Oxford United playing?

Oxford United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Wycombe Wanderers playing?

Wycombe Wanderers have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Oxford United or Draw at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oxford Utd against Wycombe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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