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Predictions › Mexico › Pachuca vs Tigres UANL
Liga MXSat 31 Oct, 23:00 Mexico time

Pachuca vs Tigres UANL prediction

Estadio Hidalgo

PachucaHome
1.50 : 1.05
expected goals
Tigres UANLAway
47%Pachuca
27%Draw
26%Tigres
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pachuca vs Tigres UANL is Pachuca to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Pachuca to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Pachuca 1.5, Tigres UANL 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pachuca to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.831 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pachuca 47%, the draw 27% and Tigres UANL 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pachuca took 5 points from their last 5 games and Tigres UANL took 7 from 5. Tigres UANL come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pachuca won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Tigres UANL won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Pachuca score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Tigres UANL score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Pachuca games and 7 of Tigres UANL games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Pachuca won 1 and Tigres UANL won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Tigres UANL 1, Pachuca 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tigresrecent form+1%
  • Tigresrest between games-5%
Pachuca form D D L D WTigres form D D W W LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pachuca vs Tigres UANL: Pachuca are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pachuca host Tigres UANL in the Liga MX on Sat 31 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Hidalgo. Our prediction for Pachuca vs Tigres UANL is Pachuca to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Pachuca form

Pachuca have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Tigres UANL form

Tigres UANL have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Pachuca won 1, Tigres UANL won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Tigres UANL 1, Pachuca 2.

Our call

We expect Pachuca to score about 1.5 goals and Tigres UANL about 1.1. That points to Pachuca to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Pachuca to win and Over 2.5 at 3.83.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PachucaTigres
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws47
Losses86
Goals scored3125
Goals conceded2523
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game1.31.1
Home record3W 3D 3L6W 2D 1L
Away record5W 1D 5L1W 5D 5L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%3.94
Both teams to score51%1.95
Pachuca or Draw74%1.35
Tigres UANL or Draw53%1.88
Pachuca to win and Over 2.527%3.68
Tigres UANL to win and Over 2.514%7.14
Pachuca clean sheet35%2.86
Tigres UANL clean sheet22%4.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-011.0%
2-19.2%
2-08.8%
0-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?

Our prediction for Pachuca vs Tigres UANL is Pachuca to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Pachuca to score 1.5 goals and Tigres UANL 1.1.

Will both teams score in Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Pachuca last 20 games and 10 of Tigres UANL last 20.

How are Pachuca playing?

Pachuca have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Tigres UANL playing?

Tigres UANL have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Pachuca and Tigres UANL last met?

It ended Tigres UANL 1, Pachuca 2. In the last 2 meetings Pachuca won 1 and Tigres UANL won 1.

What is the best bet for Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pachuca against Tigres. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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