EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Italy › Palermo vs Carrarese
Serie BSun 25 Oct, 14:00 Italy time

Palermo vs Carrarese prediction

Stadio Renzo Barbera

PalermoHome
2.12 : 0.68
expected goals
CarrareseAway
70%Palermo
20%Draw
10%Carrarese
Eagle safe pickPalermo draw no bet
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Palermo vs Carrarese is Palermo to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Palermo draw no bet at 1.17.

Prediction
Palermo to win
Chance
70%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Palermo 2.1, Carrarese 0.7
Best bet
Palermo draw no bet at 1.17
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Palermo draw no bet
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Palermo to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Palermo 70%, the draw 20% and Carrarese 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Palermo took 13 points from their last 5 games and Carrarese took 4 from 5. Palermo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Palermo won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Carrarese won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Palermo score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Carrarese score 1.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Palermo games and 7 of Carrarese games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Palermo won 2 and Carrarese won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Carrarese 0, Palermo 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Palermo draw no bet has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Palermorecent form+4%
  • Carrareserecent form-4%
Palermo form D W D W WCarrarese form D L L L DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Palermo vs Carrarese: Palermo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Palermo host Carrarese in the Serie B on Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Our prediction for Palermo vs Carrarese is Palermo to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Palermo draw no bet at 1.17.

Palermo form

Palermo have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Carrarese form

Carrarese have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Palermo won 2, Carrarese won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Carrarese 0, Palermo 1.

Our call

We expect Palermo to score about 2.1 goals and Carrarese about 0.7. That points to Palermo to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Palermo draw no bet at 1.17. Our bold bet is Palermo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PalermoCarrarese
Games played2020
Wins124
Draws46
Losses410
Goals scored3220
Goals conceded2425
Scored per game1.61.0
Conceded per game1.21.3
Home record8W 1D 0L2W 3D 5L
Away record4W 3D 4L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored55%40%
Over 2.5 goals50%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%3.24
Both teams to score44%2.27
Palermo or Draw90%1.11
Carrarese or Draw30%3.37
Palermo to win and Over 2.544%2.26
Carrarese to win and Over 2.55%19.52
Palermo clean sheet51%1.97
Carrarese clean sheet12%8.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.7%
1-012.3%
3-09.7%
2-19.3%
1-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?

Our prediction for Palermo vs Carrarese is Palermo to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Palermo draw no bet at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Palermo vs Carrarese?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Palermo to score 2.1 goals and Carrarese 0.7.

Will both teams score in Palermo vs Carrarese?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Palermo last 20 games and 8 of Carrarese last 20.

How are Palermo playing?

Palermo have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Carrarese playing?

Carrarese have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Palermo and Carrarese last met?

It ended Carrarese 0, Palermo 1. In the last 2 meetings Palermo won 2 and Carrarese won 0.

What is the best bet for Palermo vs Carrarese?

Palermo draw no bet at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Palermo against Carrarese. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.