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Predictions › Chile › Palestino vs Colo Colo
Chilean Primera DivisionSun 25 Oct, 20:30 Chile time

Palestino vs Colo Colo prediction

PalestinoHome
1.89 : 1.62
expected goals
Colo ColoAway
44%Palestino
23%Draw
33%Colo Colo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Palestino vs Colo Colo is Palestino to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Palestino to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Palestino 1.9, Colo Colo 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Palestino to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Palestino 44%, the draw 23% and Colo Colo 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Palestino took 7 points from their last 5 games and Colo Colo took 8 from 5. Colo Colo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Palestino won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Colo Colo won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Palestino score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Colo Colo score 2.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Palestino games and 13 of Colo Colo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Palestino won 1 and Colo Colo won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Colo Colo 0, Palestino 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Colo Colorecent form+3%
Palestino form D L W L WColo Colo form D W W D DHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Palestino vs Colo Colo: Palestino shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Palestino host Colo Colo in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 25 Oct, 20:30. Our prediction for Palestino vs Colo Colo is Palestino to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Palestino form

Palestino have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Colo Colo form

Colo Colo have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Palestino won 1, Colo Colo won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Colo Colo 0, Palestino 1.

Our call

We expect Palestino to score about 1.9 goals and Colo Colo about 1.6. That points to Palestino to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Palestino to win and Over 2.5 at 3.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PalestinoColo Colo
Games played2020
Wins1114
Draws23
Losses73
Goals scored3545
Goals conceded2924
Scored per game1.82.3
Conceded per game1.41.2
Home record7W 1D 2L6W 2D 2L
Away record4W 1D 5L8W 1D 1L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.47
Over 3.5 goals47%2.15
Both teams to score69%1.46
Palestino or Draw67%1.49
Colo Colo or Draw56%1.78
Palestino to win and Over 2.533%2.99
Colo Colo to win and Over 2.525%4.04
Palestino clean sheet20%5.07
Colo Colo clean sheet15%6.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.7%
2-18.6%
1-27.4%
2-27.0%
3-15.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Palestino vs Colo Colo?

Our prediction for Palestino vs Colo Colo is Palestino to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Palestino vs Colo Colo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Palestino to score 1.9 goals and Colo Colo 1.6.

Will both teams score in Palestino vs Colo Colo?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Palestino last 20 games and 13 of Colo Colo last 20.

How are Palestino playing?

Palestino have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Colo Colo playing?

Colo Colo have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Palestino and Colo Colo last met?

It ended Colo Colo 0, Palestino 1. In the last 1 meeting Palestino won 1 and Colo Colo won 0.

What is the best bet for Palestino vs Colo Colo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Palestino against Colo Colo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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