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Predictions › Chile › Palestino vs Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera DivisionFri 20 Nov, 23:30 Chile time

Palestino vs Unión La Calera prediction

Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

PalestinoHome
2.09 : 0.76
expected goals
Unión La CaleraAway
68%Palestino
20%Draw
12%Unión La Calera
Eagle safe pickPalestino draw no bet
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Palestino vs Unión La Calera is Palestino to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Palestino draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction
Palestino to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Palestino 2.1, Unión La Calera 0.8
Best bet
Palestino draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Palestino draw no bet
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Palestino to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price 2.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Palestino 68%, the draw 20% and Unión La Calera 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Palestino took 2 points from their last 5 games and Unión La Calera took 10 from 5. Unión La Calera come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Palestino won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Unión La Calera won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Palestino score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Unión La Calera score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Palestino games and 11 of Unión La Calera games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Palestino won 1 and Unión La Calera won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Unión La Calera 1, Palestino 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Palestino draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Palestinorecent form-3%
  • Unión La Calerarecent form-1%
  • Unión La Calerarest between games-2%
Palestino form D L D D LUnión La Calera form D L L W DHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Palestino vs Unión La Calera: Palestino are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Palestino host Unión La Calera in the Chilean Primera Division on Fri 20 Nov, 23:30 at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna. Our prediction for Palestino vs Unión La Calera is Palestino to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Palestino draw no bet at 1.18.

Palestino form

Palestino have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Unión La Calera form

Unión La Calera have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Palestino won 1, Unión La Calera won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Unión La Calera 1, Palestino 2.

Our call

We expect Palestino to score about 2.1 goals and Unión La Calera about 0.8. That points to Palestino to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Palestino draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is Palestino to win and Over 2.5 at 2.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PalestinoUnión La Calera
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws35
Losses810
Goals scored2818
Goals conceded2729
Scored per game1.40.9
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record5W 2D 2L4W 2D 4L
Away record4W 1D 6L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.14
Both teams to score47%2.13
Palestino or Draw88%1.13
Unión La Calera or Draw32%3.11
Palestino to win and Over 2.544%2.29
Unión La Calera to win and Over 2.56%15.90
Palestino clean sheet47%2.13
Unión La Calera clean sheet12%8.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.7%
1-011.6%
1-19.7%
2-19.6%
3-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Palestino vs Unión La Calera?

Our prediction for Palestino vs Unión La Calera is Palestino to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Palestino draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Palestino vs Unión La Calera?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Palestino to score 2.1 goals and Unión La Calera 0.8.

Will both teams score in Palestino vs Unión La Calera?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Palestino last 20 games and 11 of Unión La Calera last 20.

How are Palestino playing?

Palestino have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Unión La Calera playing?

Unión La Calera have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Palestino and Unión La Calera last met?

It ended Unión La Calera 1, Palestino 2. In the last 1 meeting Palestino won 1 and Unión La Calera won 0.

What is the best bet for Palestino vs Unión La Calera?

Palestino draw no bet at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Palestino against Unión La Calera. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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