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Predictions › Brazil › Palmeiras vs Remo
BrasileiraoThu 5 Nov, 22:30 Brazil time

Palmeiras vs Remo prediction

Allianz Parque

PalmeirasHome
1.96 : 0.53
expected goals
RemoAway
71%Palmeiras
20%Draw
8%Remo
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Palmeiras vs Remo is Palmeiras to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Palmeiras to win
Chance
71%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Palmeiras 2.0, Remo 0.5
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
36%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Palmeiras to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Palmeiras 71%, the draw 20% and Remo 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Palmeiras took 12 points from their last 5 games and Remo took 3 from 5. Palmeiras come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Palmeiras won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Remo won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Palmeiras score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Remo score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Palmeiras games and 10 of Remo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Palmeiras won 0 and Remo won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Remo 1, Palmeiras 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Palmeirasrecent form+3%
  • Remorecent form-1%
  • Palmeirasrest between games-2%
Palmeiras form D L W W WRemo form D D D D LHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Palmeiras vs Remo: Palmeiras are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Palmeiras host Remo in the Brasileirao on Thu 5 Nov, 22:30 at Allianz Parque. Our prediction for Palmeiras vs Remo is Palmeiras to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Palmeiras form

Palmeiras have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Remo form

Remo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Palmeiras won 0, Remo won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Remo 1, Palmeiras 1.

Our call

We expect Palmeiras to score about 2.0 goals and Remo about 0.5. That points to Palmeiras to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Palmeiras to win and Over 2.5 at 2.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PalmeirasRemo
Games played2020
Wins114
Draws56
Losses410
Goals scored3321
Goals conceded1528
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record6W 2D 2L2W 4D 5L
Away record5W 3D 2L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets50%15%
Both teams scored45%65%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.19
Both teams to score36%2.81
Palmeiras or Draw92%1.09
Remo or Draw29%3.46
Palmeiras to win and Over 2.539%2.55
Remo to win and Over 2.53%29.27
Palmeiras clean sheet59%1.69
Remo clean sheet14%7.09

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-016.0%
1-015.8%
3-010.4%
1-19.1%
0-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Palmeiras vs Remo?

Our prediction for Palmeiras vs Remo is Palmeiras to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Palmeiras vs Remo?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Palmeiras to score 2.0 goals and Remo 0.5.

Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Remo?

Both teams to score has a 36% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Palmeiras last 20 games and 13 of Remo last 20.

How are Palmeiras playing?

Palmeiras have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Remo playing?

Remo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Palmeiras and Remo last met?

It ended Remo 1, Palmeiras 1. In the last 1 meeting Palmeiras won 0 and Remo won 0.

What is the best bet for Palmeiras vs Remo?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Palmeiras against Remo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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