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Predictions › Greece › Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens
Greek Super LeagueSun 1 Nov, 17:00 Greece time

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens prediction

Athens Olympic Stadium

PanathinaikosHome
1.49 : 1.11
expected goals
AEK AthensAway
45%Panathinaikos
27%Draw
28%AEK Athens
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens is Panathinaikos to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Panathinaikos to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Panathinaikos 1.5, AEK Athens 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Panathinaikos 45%, the draw 27% and AEK Athens 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Panathinaikos took 12 points from their last 5 games and AEK Athens took 7 from 5. Panathinaikos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Panathinaikos won 6 of their last 10 games at home. AEK Athens won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Panathinaikos score 1.7 goals a game and let in 0.9. AEK Athens score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Panathinaikos games and 12 of AEK Athens games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Panathinaikos won 0 and AEK Athens won 3 with 1 draw. The last one ended AEK Athens 2, Panathinaikos 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Panathinaikosrecent form+3%
  • AEK Athensrecent form+1%
  • Panathinaikosrest between games-5%
  • AEK Athensrest between games-2%
Panathinaikos form D W W L WAEK Athens form D L W W DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens: Panathinaikos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Panathinaikos host AEK Athens in the Greek Super League on Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 at Athens Olympic Stadium. Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens is Panathinaikos to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Panathinaikos form

Panathinaikos have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

AEK Athens form

AEK Athens have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Panathinaikos won 0, AEK Athens won 3 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished AEK Athens 2, Panathinaikos 1.

Our call

We expect Panathinaikos to score about 1.5 goals and AEK Athens about 1.1. That points to Panathinaikos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Games played2020
Wins1110
Draws46
Losses54
Goals scored3435
Goals conceded1922
Scored per game1.71.8
Conceded per game0.91.1
Home record6W 3D 1L8W 1D 1L
Away record5W 1D 4L2W 5D 3L
Clean sheets35%40%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.80
Both teams to score53%1.90
Panathinaikos or Draw72%1.38
AEK Athens or Draw55%1.82
Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.526%3.78
AEK Athens to win and Over 2.515%6.46
Panathinaikos clean sheet33%3.04
AEK Athens clean sheet23%4.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-010.3%
2-19.1%
2-08.2%
0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens is Panathinaikos to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Panathinaikos to score 1.5 goals and AEK Athens 1.1.

Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Panathinaikos last 20 games and 10 of AEK Athens last 20.

How are Panathinaikos playing?

Panathinaikos have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are AEK Athens playing?

AEK Athens have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Panathinaikos and AEK Athens last met?

It ended AEK Athens 2, Panathinaikos 1. In the last 4 meetings Panathinaikos won 0 and AEK Athens won 3.

What is the best bet for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panathinaikos against AEK Athens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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