Predictions › Greece › Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli

Greek Super LeagueSun 18 Oct, 14:30 Greece time

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli prediction

Athens Olympic Stadium

PanathinaikosHome

2.25 : 0.71

expected goals

Asteras TripoliAway

72%Panathinaikos

18%Draw

10%Asteras Trip

Eagle safe pickPanathinaikos draw no bet

1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli is Panathinaikos to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.17.

Prediction: Panathinaikos to win
Chance: 72%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Panathinaikos 2.3, Asteras Tripoli 0.7
Best bet: Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.17
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Panathinaikos draw no bet

86% chanceFair price 1.172 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5

44% chanceFair price 2.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Panathinaikos 72%, the draw 18% and Asteras Tripoli 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Panathinaikos took 15 points from their last 5 games and Asteras Tripoli took 2 from 5. Panathinaikos come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Panathinaikos won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Asteras Tripoli won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Panathinaikos score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.9. Asteras Tripoli score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Panathinaikos games and 9 of Asteras Tripoli games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Panathinaikos won 2 and Asteras Tripoli won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Asteras Tripoli 1, Panathinaikos 2.
6
The safest bet
Panathinaikos draw no bet has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Panathinaikosrecent form+7%
Asteras Triprecent form-4%

Panathinaikos form W W W W WAsteras Trip form D D L L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli: Panathinaikos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Panathinaikos host Asteras Tripoli in the Greek Super League on Sun 18 Oct, 14:30 at Athens Olympic Stadium. Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli is Panathinaikos to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.17.

Panathinaikos form

Panathinaikos have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Asteras Tripoli form

Asteras Tripoli have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Panathinaikos won 2, Asteras Tripoli won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Asteras Tripoli 1, Panathinaikos 2.

Our call

We expect Panathinaikos to score about 2.3 goals and Asteras Tripoli about 0.7. That points to Panathinaikos to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.17. Our bold bet is Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5 at 2.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Panathinaikos	Asteras Trip
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	5
Draws	5	7
Losses	4	8
Goals scored	32	21
Goals conceded	18	25
Scored per game	1.6	1.1
Conceded per game	0.9	1.3
Home record	6W 3D 1L	4W 2D 5L
Away record	5W 2D 3L	1W 5D 3L
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Both teams scored	45%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.76
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.91
Both teams to score	46%	2.18
Panathinaikos or Draw	90%	1.11
Asteras Tripoli or Draw	28%	3.55
Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5	48%	2.10
Asteras Tripoli to win and Over 2.5	5%	19.13
Panathinaikos clean sheet	49%	2.03
Asteras Tripoli clean sheet	11%	9.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.1%

1-011.2%

3-09.8%

2-19.3%

1-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli?

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli is Panathinaikos to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Panathinaikos to score 2.3 goals and Asteras Tripoli 0.7.

Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Panathinaikos last 20 games and 12 of Asteras Tripoli last 20.

How are Panathinaikos playing?

How are Asteras Tripoli playing?

What happened when Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripoli last met?

It ended Asteras Tripoli 1, Panathinaikos 2. In the last 2 meetings Panathinaikos won 2 and Asteras Tripoli won 0.

What is the best bet for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripoli?

Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panathinaikos against Asteras Trip. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.