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Predictions › Conference League › Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction

Athens Olympic Stadium

PanathinaikosHome
2.22 : 0.92
expected goals
CSKA SofiaAway
66%Panathinaikos
20%Draw
14%CSKA Sofia
Eagle safe pickPanathinaikos draw no bet
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia is Panathinaikos to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.21.

Prediction
Panathinaikos to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Panathinaikos 2.2, CSKA Sofia 0.9
Best bet
Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.21
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Panathinaikos draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5
45% chanceFair price 2.241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Panathinaikos 66%, the draw 20% and CSKA Sofia 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Panathinaikos took 12 points from their last 5 games and CSKA Sofia took 1 from 2. Panathinaikos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Panathinaikos score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.9. CSKA Sofia score 1.5 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Panathinaikos games and 2 of CSKA Sofia games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Panathinaikos draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Panathinaikosrecent form+3%
  • CSKA Sofiarecent form-6%
  • Panathinaikosrest between games-5%
Panathinaikos form D W W W LCSKA Sofia form D L L L LHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: Panathinaikos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Panathinaikos host CSKA Sofia in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 at Athens Olympic Stadium. Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia is Panathinaikos to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.21.

Panathinaikos form

Panathinaikos have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

CSKA Sofia form

CSKA Sofia have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 1. Their last 2 results read D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Panathinaikos to score about 2.2 goals and CSKA Sofia about 0.9. That points to Panathinaikos to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.21. Our bold bet is Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5 at 2.24.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PanathinaikosCSKA Sofia
Games played202
Wins110
Draws41
Losses51
Goals scored313
Goals conceded184
Scored per game1.61.5
Conceded per game0.92.0
Home record6W 3D 1L0W 0D 1L
Away record5W 1D 4L0W 1D 0L
Clean sheets40%0%
Both teams scored40%100%
Over 2.5 goals50%100%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.65
Over 3.5 goals38%2.61
Both teams to score54%1.85
Panathinaikos or Draw86%1.16
CSKA Sofia or Draw34%2.96
Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.546%2.15
CSKA Sofia to win and Over 2.58%11.79
Panathinaikos clean sheet40%2.51
CSKA Sofia clean sheet11%9.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.7%
2-19.8%
1-19.4%
1-09.1%
3-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia is Panathinaikos to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Panathinaikos to score 2.2 goals and CSKA Sofia 0.9.

Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Panathinaikos last 20 games and 2 of CSKA Sofia last 2.

How are Panathinaikos playing?

Panathinaikos have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are CSKA Sofia playing?

CSKA Sofia have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 1. Their last 2 results read D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Panathinaikos draw no bet at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panathinaikos against CSKA Sofia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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